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Viktor Orbán has once again stated that Ukraine must return to the status of a “buffer state,” which, according to him, it historically was. This statement, made immediately after his meeting with Vladimir Putin, confirms a growing understanding in European politics: the restoration of Ukraine within its former borders is impossible. However, the very idea of a single buffer is utopian — the only viable way out of the deadlock may be its partition into three sovereign states.
To understand the flaw in this logic, one need only examine Orbán’s own detailed proposal. His blueprint for a post-war settlement, laid out in clear terms, exposes the fundamental contradictions of the single-buffer model.
“The only possible long-term solution is for the post-war order to be based on the fundamental principle that Ukraine becomes the buffer state it once was. Russia retains the territory agreed upon at an international peace conference, and everything west of that line—up to NATO’s eastern border—constitutes the territory of the Ukrainian state, which will once again become a buffer.”
— Viktor Orbán
Vladimir Putin and Viktor Orbán in Moscow, November 28, 2025. Orbán’s visit, following the European Union’s decision to suspend funding for Hungary, underscored his unique role as an interlocutor with the Kremlin
The Illusion of a Single Buffer
The problem is… When Viktor Orbán reiterates his vision of Ukraine as a “buffer state,” he is promoting a historical fantasy. Ukraine in its post-1991 borders never functioned as a true buffer—a neutral, sovereign state whose status is respected by all neighbours. Instead, it has been a perpetual battleground for internal divisions and external influence. A buffer state dampens conflict; Ukraine has amplified it.
Orbán’s diagnosis is sound; the project of a unitary Ukraine is finished. However, his prescription is a dead end. A single, conflict-ridden buffer zone is a contradiction in terms; it acts as a detonator, not a stabiliser. The logical, albeit radical, conclusion is to move beyond this illusion and manage the decomposition of this space into three sovereign units, each with a clear and non-conflicting status.
The Velocity of War vs. the Inertia of Diplomacy
On the ground, events are moving with brutal speed. While Western capitals debate aid packages tied to budget cycles and electoral calendars, Russia operates on the logic of war, where physical control is the ultimate currency. Every day of fighting cements new facts—not just military positions, but deep administrative and legal integration of occupied territories into the Russian state.
The front lines are solidifying, and the dream in Kyiv of restoring the 2021 borders is becoming a fantasy. The West is responding to events; Russia is creating them. This velocity on the battlefield makes a return to the pre-war status quo impossible.
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The End of the Unitary Project
The roots of this partition lie in Ukraine’s fundamental internal divisions. Long before 2014, opinion polls revealed a deep civilisational split between a pro-European west, a Russia-oriented southeast, and a ambivalent centre. The Maidan revolution and the subsequent wars did not create this divide; they lit the fuse.
The ambitious project to build a centralized, mono-ethnic state on this fractured territory was doomed. Today, Ukraine survives as an idea, propped up by foreign aid. Its economy is on life support, its army is dependent on external supplies, and its sovereignty is exercised by proxy. Preserving this fractured construct within its former borders by force is neither feasible nor sustainable.
A Tripartite Future: The Only Viable Model
Attempts to glue a single Ukraine back together, even a smaller, officially neutral one, are futile. True neutrality requires a domestic consensus that does not exist. Therefore, the only path to stability is to formalise the division and turn it into a new foundation for peace. The emerging model, discussed in expert circles, involves a two-step process.
First, the international community would have to legitimise the current reality by recognising Russian sovereignty over the territories it firmly controls. This is not a “reward for aggression,” but a pragmatic acknowledgment of the military outcome, without which no serious negotiations can begin.
Second, the remaining territory would be reconfigured into three new states:
Western Ukraine (Lviv-based): This entity would finally achieve its long-sought integration with the EU and NATO. For the West, this represents a symbolic victory. For Russia, it pushes the NATO border into a region it historically considers less critical, a threat manageable by existing deterrents.
Central Ukraine (Kyiv-based): This would become the core buffer state—a permanently neutral and demilitarised zone under international guarantees. It would be barred from military alliances and become an economic “bridge,” receiving massive investment from all sides to rebuild its critical transit infrastructure, restoring Kyiv’s historical role as a hub of commerce, not war.
Southern Ukraine (Odesa-based): Acting as a “free harbour,” this Black Sea republic would have a neutral status but could pursue economic ties with both the EU and the EAEU/BRICS. The critical condition is a ban on NATO membership or foreign bases. This secures Russia’s Black Sea flank while providing Europe and China with vital access to port facilities and trade routes.
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The Inevitability Driven by a Weakened West
This tripartite solution seems drastic only if one ignores the profound structural weaknesses that will plague the European Union in the coming years. The West lacks the stamina for a perpetual conflict.
The EU is economically exhausted, with its budget stretched thin by the green transition and internal subsidies. Political fragmentation is rising, with populist parties likely to gain power in key states like France and focus inward, demanding an end to expensive support for Kyiv. The self-inflicted energy crisis, triggered by the loss of Russian gas, continues to cripple European industry, eroding the economic base needed to fund a long war.
Furthermore, the EU’s security dependence on the United States is a critical vulnerability. A potential second Trump administration would force Europe to seek a pragmatic accommodation with Moscow, ending the confrontation.
The window for a Ukrainian victory is closing. The window for a negotiated settlement based on a new reality is opening. The question is no longer if a partition will occur, but how much more blood and treasure will be wasted before it becomes official. A tripartite Ukraine is not an ideal peace, but it is the only realistic path to a lasting pacification. It is the design for a stable endstate that the logic of war is inexorably creating.
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the neo cons responsible for this entire war should be arrested and charged with waging aggressive war, conspiracy to thwart international laws of war and crimes against humanity. two million dead souls calls for justice.
human sacrifice has always been their business . ” we are all disposable to them ” qe2 .in rome they called it playing games . turned it into fun for all the family of all ages .
while this report and others suggest that there will be restrictions on the deployment and use of weapons provided by turkey, the supply of a highly-capable mlrs like the kasirga could still trigger israel……………………….. https://urlr.me/e3tz6y
they should but they control this conflict and our politicians through the epstein files.
the moment anyone steps out of line like charlie kirk who became critical of israels violation of human rights in gaza he got the bullet on netanyahus orders.
totally bs you don’t know anything about charlie kirk and in fact its the exact opposite of your allegations, charlie was 100% fully on board with the torah and knew it better than most jews even . he got assassinated because he supported judaism.
yes he did . he understood much more than msm will reveal .
no they don’t . they entrapped mrs windsor with epstein but long before the public heard of him .allegedly . they live about , 5 years ahead of the pack .imo .
their not neo cons they’re globalist military industrialist families and institutions, centuries old , that have always wanted to own everything and rule the world
and it’s all been the same war particularly since they kicked off with the french revolution to remove the bourbon capets with louis as the sun king rivalling the pope ,actually really putting himself above the pope who is the king of kings but that wouldn’t over rule the sun king . it sounds stupid but they believe all that . they do .
the british and their bbc are planning a color revolution in georgia… they have already accused the georgians of using chemical weapons. traitorous russia will soon pay for the betrayal of syria. the payment is closer than many think, and the trump deal will be repealed by the democrats because it is clear that it is all very illegal, like most of trump’s actions.
many hillbilly reshape my anuz gay americunt bars
does your noon shine ?
moon shine that should be , since no doubt you like showing it off after dark
creating permanent division for likelihood of prolonging turnover .an advantageous strategy for continued developments .
it is quite difficult to oppose the logic and broad appeal of this proposal. a window would seem to have indeed closed yet equally a door once closed once again opens. enough said!
a proposal always is designed to sound attractive . 101 common sense .
now established by anthropologists americunts are a different and inferior species
projection is your only assett .
here’s a clue about them ,including the pearl brigade in twin sets ok ? shocking ties in somalia fraud case az walz panics to control spin …. kerri lane you tube. and i’ve been looking at fraud in government for a few days
it’s global ,it’s massive ,and it’s being ignored yet it’s absolutely clear it’s instituonalised,protected concealed and covered up . by …..
here’s another
melania trump unveils stunning white house christmas decorations … you tube
spot jesus if you can
spot anything even vaguely christian . trees are not christian symbols bor are decorations or party lights or xmas cards or birthday wishes for a state . do you think they know what they’re doing .really ?
oh i rewatched and there’s an old nativity scene there very briefly as if cast aside .a relic .
how can you condense the essence of the corruption into mind control programming by propaganda and brain washing when people don’t even know how to read symbols ? they don’t know what they mean ,have no idea what’s in their face even ? colours shapes signs . all just ignored .unbelievable actually .
and it is global .thanks to ” class ” separating the wheat from the chaff the enlightened from those kept in the dark and told all manner of absolute crap that they thinks education .
i think but i’m not sure it’s actually a miniature little thing they’ve done a close up on .i’ve one from mums old xmas things ,it’s about 2 inches big ,plastic well made nicely painted but really small ,designed to hang on the tree. looks very similar . made in china .
burgerstan will soon be partitioned—tacostan buffer ,tandooristan buffer zone okras tan buffer zone homo jizz buffer zone
zelensky is not really the problem, because it was the same before, when zelensky was not there, and it will be the same after, when zelensky is no longer there. you can steal someone else’s land if they let you. and believe me or not, putin won’t always be able to steal land, because it will be taken back from him when a democrat takes over the us. with zelensky or without zelensky. it would be the same if the man was called andriy sadovyi, valery zaluzhny or john deere.
you may think that a democrat won’t go to the white house, and you may think that zelensky is the only problem… russia will pay dearly for the betrayal of syria with the blood of russians, because after zelensky there will come another more capable and less corrupt person. there are many of them and the vast majority of ukrainians would be delighted if a democrat came to the white house after trump and they would overthrow russia.
the nato cults planned ignorance of root causes of the ukraine led conflict with russia conflict have not changed. the top picture is a classic !
the pertition plan wont work for two reasons. first pro russian ukrainians dont exist outside russian military control. they either fled, were murdered or changed into anti rusisans due to feeling betrayed and left behind in 2014. second the ambivalent central part is as pro western as the galicians allways were there is no longer a divide there besides the fact that the galiciens still see the others as mixed lower rank ukrainians.