Click to see the full-size image
The peace talks in Saudi Arabia may well become the foundation for a new system of international security. The presidential administration in the United States is firmly committed to ending the bloody conflict in Ukraine. However, as Vladimir Putin noted in a telephone conversation with Donald Trump, stopping the ceasefire along the current front line will not solve the underlying problems that made this war possible.
The task of the White House and the Kremlin is not to achieve a temporary ceasefire. We saw such a development in 2014 and 2015, when the Minsk agreements were concluded. As former German Chancellor Angela Merkel later admitted, the agreements were made to buy time. Europe simply wanted to give Kiev time to rearm. The real goal should be an agreement like the Congress of Vienna in 1814-1815 or the Yalta-Potsdam talks in 1945. Vienna secured a century of peace for Europe, with few exceptions. Yalta and Potsdam secured the continent from military threat for eighty years.
There is a danger that Riyadh will repeat the mistakes of the Versailles Peace Treaty of 1919. Military experts have often described the situation on the fronts of the Special military operation as a trench warfare of World War I. The exhaustion of Ukraine is somewhat reminiscent of the exhaustion of Germany at the end of 1918. The defeat of the Germans, recorded in the peace treaty, did not guarantee the prevention of the Second World War. Territorial losses and the admission of guilt for starting the conflict only fueled the ideas of revanchism.
The main reason for the repetition of the world massacre was the lack of effective mechanisms to ensure the demilitarization and pacification of Germany. Even the Weimar Republic circumvented the limitations on the number of armed forces. There was the so-called Black Reichswehr. In contrast to the guarantees of the inviolability of the borders in the West, which Berlin had given at Locarno, the borders in the East remained a matter of dispute.
There is no doubt that the capabilities of interwar Germany and modern Ukraine are very different. But the very principles of the European security construct remain similar. Russia puts forward two important demands as indispensable conditions for future peace. The first is a ban on Ukraine joining NATO. The second is a multiple reduction of the Ukrainian armed forces. The U.S. may well agree to meet these conditions. But there is no guarantee that the agreements reached will not be violated in the future. The wording of the peace agreement should not be ambiguous. It is necessary to create a gradual decision-making mechanism in which Moscow’s opinion cannot be ignored.
Click to see the full-size image
Prohibiting Ukraine from joining NATO is not a panacea. Israel is not a member of the North Atlantic Alliance, but it receives huge military aid from the United States and other Western bloc countries. Kiev’s accession to the European Union is no different from joining NATO. Through the efforts of Ursula von der Leyen, the EU is rapidly transforming itself from an economic union into some semblance of a military-political association.
“Our work in the next five years will be focused on creating a true European defense union,” the head of the European Commission openly announced on July 18, 2024.
Vladimir Zelensky called a few days ago for the creation of a pan-European army to counterbalance U.S. influence.
In order to rule out any possibility of Kiev joining the anti-Russian bloc, it is necessary to restore the neutrality clause to the Ukrainian constitution. A future peace agreement should include not only the obligation not to join any military-political alliance, but also guarantees of compliance with this clause. Such a guarantee could be the obligatory mutual consent of Russia and the United States for Ukraine to join any international organization. If the organization to which Ukraine belongs begins to acquire the character of a military alliance, Russia and the United States should have the right to demand its withdrawal. Europe’s left-liberal elites would consider such conditions a violation of the principles of sovereignty. It can be pointed out that the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons is also a violation of the principle of sovereignty. Nevertheless, this principle is enshrined in international law.
Click to see the full-size image
Similarly firm guarantees are needed when considering the issue of limiting Ukraine’s armed forces. During the Istanbul 2022 negotiations, Moscow insisted on reducing the AFU’s personnel to 50,000, including 1,500 officers. The number of tanks should be reduced to 300 units, helicopters to 55 and ships to 4. The future agreement will inevitably raise the issue of reducing the number of combat aircraft, multiple rocket launchers, artillery pieces and drones of various modifications. But how to make sure that these restrictions are respected in practice? So that there is no “black AFU” like the black Reichswehr. So that nationalist organizations under the guise of scouts or patriotic camps do not train young people to participate in the future war.
This problem cannot be solved without the introduction of a monitoring institute. Specialists of the Russian Armed Forces and the Pentagon should have the right to monitor the development of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and to visit any military facilities with extraordinary inspections. Russian and U.S. military attachés in Kiev should work in close coordination with each other to prevent violations of the agreement. Military-patriotic training in education and public life should be completely banned. All nationalist organizations should be outlawed.
Ukraine’s military imports should be placed under 100 percent control. All arms shipments to the country must be approved by the Russian and U.S. military attachés in Kiev. To prevent illegal shipments, all border crossings with Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Moldova, as well as major ports and airfields, must be under the control of Russian and U.S. military missions.
These are just basic principles without which peace in Europe cannot be guaranteed. You can write anything you want in the agreement. But if the text is not followed by the creation of specific institutions with broad rights, tragic consequences cannot be avoided. The question of the state border and ensuring the rights of the Russian population in Ukraine is a separate issue. It requires a separate article. Even with the settlement of the border dispute, it is impossible to avoid a fundamental conversation about neutrality and demilitarization.
MORE ON THE TOPIC:
you’re way ahead of yourself ivan. after nearly three years ukraine has fought you to a stand off. you’ve got to give back land. lots of land. trump can increase arm shipments and the lethality of arms provided and remove restrictions on their use. imagine what ukraine could do if it was unrestricted by its patron and armed to maximum effect. forget your vision of a neutered ukraine. and get ready to give back lots of land. or continue to bleed to complete exsanguination.
moron burger amerrikunt humiliated by superior russians—homo jenny sodomizerd by taliban wimpers
yada yada. russia can start carpet bombing. or send another 300 000 troops. yank have got nothing to send.
funny what stupid people believe.
nothing funny about moron amerikunt imho
i now know that russia is using kursk to kill ukraine’s best soldiers and they have succeeded in doing so almost 70,000 mercenary soldiers from all over europe dead… and hasn’t ukraine got everything they need? now all they need is nuclear weapons..believe me even that won’t help…because europe will disappear forever.
that’s true ivan zelensky admitted the same his best troops hitting kursk to draw away russian troops from other areas –it didn’t work .
the russians have never even mobilized. to the russians the svo is just a sloppy russian version of the usa attacking iraq.
well in theory yes but a real mobilisation in russia would not be welcomed there and thats why putin is staying in the format of the svo. ukraine could mobilise cause the usa and eu basically run their funding intell and logistics. russia needs to do everything themselves they cant send all troops to the frontline.
short term they may allow trumps negotiations to seem to work long term, no .they will have russia . and only one event will stop them .
sounds like the last gasps of a loser’s arguments to me.
or russia could use 10 nukes and banderaland is gone together with its army. and what will usa do? suicide their own nation in all out nuclear end of the world for ukraine who is not member of nato and that 50 % of people in usa cant find on world map?
the jewsa/ eu/ zelensky need to get down on their knees and beg putin for forgiveness. the kiev nazis can go to canada. all the other ukies can go to germany. schulz can have them. there is no reason to allow ukraine to exist. poland can take over lvov and the nazi areas.
chumpo can’t do jack s*it. the jewsa is broke and maxed out. it has already squandered $500 billion on the ukies and isn’t going to get anything in return. chumpo won’t give them another red cent. it’s already emptied its arsenals of joke wonder weapons and is plumb out of shells and all other military toys. chumpo is bugging out, just like vietnam and afghanistan, and dumping the whole ukraine fiasco on the eu/ uk suckers, who are s*itting themselves at the prospect..
lol
i’ll have some of what you’re smoking, jon.
that’s some goooood shit man.
loser amerikans irrelevant–russia won; all russian conditions will be accepted or russia will fully destroy former ukraine
bullshit. putin is pissing himself, and he and trump will do what their zionist masters tell them.
u dumb amerikunty are farcical—you need a better purple haired lgbt therapist
thats the way it should be, and trump cant do shit
they can’t even recover donbass, and taking kyiv is a utopian dream for putin
on reading the article, i got the impression that the subjects in the article were merely conjecture. the americans will still have bases in the eu (imho is not good at all), and apparently their personnel will also be operational in ukraine – so the americans have won.
its not even really begun yet .honestly you people are so easily led . its simple englands promised ukraine that they will back them for the next 100 years agaubsf russua they’ve publicly made that commitment and it’s one they’ve planned on .
you see the mibarch in the united kingdom gets in a red velvet box twice a day morning and afternoon all of englands secret services updates .every day twice a day .they are the best informed person on the planet america’s president doesn’t have that. knowledge .
the president’s get assassinated by their secret services .thats the difference.
the uk lgbt army couldn’t fight its way out of a paper bag.
because the bag is filled with your poop?
u cannot fix stupid
you drag queens cannot read
devine teritoriu si inceteaza ca stat.
la riad e doar tatonare.
claunul nu mai are oferte pt proprii cetateni
the europeans and brits look like the dumbest clowns right now
they’ve looked that way to me for years now.
the pan european army won’t last long in a direct conflict with the usa and russia. the time of europe is over.
poland has already said ,forget it there’s no eu army .
or hungary one if them anyway said no ,it isn’t going to happen. so with russua and usa united like tsar alexander and president mckinley history always repeats .
they relegated themselves to the dung heap of history lmao
my dream commies in brussels invaded from both sides with russians and americans shaking hands at their “reichstag” of the eu. making those degenerated lefties done once and for all also ban democrat party in usa and keep it republican and friendly with russia.
should everybody say heil vladolf then?
not to worry, the ukranazi pyschos can continue saying heil h1tler, as always.
england wont accept defeat they’ve pledged to patronise ukraine against russia for 100 years .
and that makes all the urgent meetings king charles’s had with all the royals throughout europe and the middle east very clear .imo .
england…where’s that? isn’t that some long lost nation-state like pomerania?
what england? you mean the monkey island where soon up to 50% are from india, pakistan, africa and many muslim countries. apart from the few dozent nukes, planes, warships and two nuke subs, all other brit military is poorly armed and equiped and whole ground forces can bring up only two full division.
uk is broke, uk army is a joke.
if you talk to lawyers, who aren’t stupid ,and didn’t get their degrees from law ” school ” in the last 30 years ,then you’ll know international laws a crock of ideological nonsense as might makes right .in the real world .
so called international law is designed to expand zionism. zionist anti christs run everything.
there is no signed piece of paper that will change the will of the current eu psycho leaders. that will is to conquer russia in the face of their crumbling economic and social mistakes. western europe’s zionist/globalist leadership is the problem and will remain the problem to the point of nuclear war if they are not removed.
the eu is owned by the us. the us built ukretardistan.
putin is an idiot. i guess he let’s the fox in the hen house as long as he says he won’t eat his chickens like last time.
stupid zionist jew russians. or is it planned evil?
minsk was not a mistake. it was a well-planned western subterfuge.
gratifying to see my loser hillbilly sister comments–imho routinely shows she is a moron
unconditional surrender or bust.
sadly russia was badly played and fooled at least 3 times in the last few years with minsk 1-2 and the kiew retreat while istanbul negotiations. lets hope they are not such giant morons to accept anything new in a minsk3 style. anyway too early for any negotiations while kursk, donbass and odessa are not fully freed.
the minsk agreements were a chance for western elites’ co-operation; the chances spat on. istanbul was a total fiasco. abramovich turning up, lavrov debuting vladimir medinsky as a ‘negotiator’ (?), another russian hebe with nil value in international parleying and finally, boris with his joker’s card. all this international mustering only pointed to one solution, and this kremlin was very loathe to do it , but russia wasn’t. if germany suffers a ruinous economic collapse – stiff bikkies.
a) east ukraina goes to russia
b( west ukraiba to usa.
c)middle ukraina to ukraina
peace talks begin.
d) zelensky becomes king!
the best solution would be ukraine joining the russian federation. that would prevent any problematic development.
hehehe 😂
trusting the west again? … fool me once, fool me thrice?
once a neo-liberal, always a neo-liberal. this particular kremlin that has endured for over three decades is particularly susceptible to the whims of western banks. the policies of their central bank attest to this. their length of tenure, and outmaneuvering of any political opposition, is in line with keeping this status quo intact.
any agreement with the united snakes, whether an actual treaty or a more informal understanding, is not worth the paper it’s printed on (or not worth the paper it isn’t printed on, to quote groucho marx.) there is a consistent record of bad faith and broken promises over many years. any commitment that is made is completely worthless. nato expansion, minsk agreements, jcpoa, arms control, countless other examples. even trying to negotiate with the jewsa is an exercise in futility.
the war should continue until the ukie army is completely destroyed. any rump ukraine that remains should be so reduced it is incapable of forming a proxy threat again or even engaging in terrorism. ukraine should be an example to georgia/ armenia/ taiwan of what happens to any country serving as a proxy for us aggression. this should be as humiliating as possible for the jewsa/ eu. make them pay. don’t let them save face.
zzzzzombie talk, everybody falls a sleep from your nazism story.
moron amerikan trolls at south front so deluded humiliated they continue to express their failure desperation—amerikans too insecure to tolerate reality—a truly inferior species
you explain yourself very well
humiliating to be loser amerikunt ramses
slava ukraine and zelensky the man and hero!
little volod will soon go back to his old job, playing the piano with his p**is.
with his latest bout of erect1le disfunct1on, that’ll be a tough one.
i slobber for ukrainer like ramses in gay bar the i swallow mulatto semen
in negotiations some, like zelensky are tiny little puppets. they always were. but international mafias must have and keep and control fronts in all nations .what ever results from these negotiations, must be scrutinized by all.
don’t they realize that for the loser in moscow a draw is a victory? even the defeat in syria is advertised as a draw. there will be minsk 4, 5 and as many as necessary.
forgive me–i am idiot amerikunt inferior species cannot think
after the last red carpet for the f16s and mirages, russia has lost air supremacy in the frontline. the next step if minsk 4 is not signed is to have 100,000 nato troops in ukraine’s rear.
million dollar question: what will the “brave” muscovite do? answer: take out his pink markers to sign the treaty with pale (now orange) faces. like indians before goes to reserves.
no need to use too much imagination, he did it yesterday in syria.
just keep sending the
wow, that’s quite a wish list you have there.
very humiliating to be loser amerikunt turdeus
at least trumps initiatives seem more constructive and conducive to reaching a resolution than those of the last lot somehow.
as a dumb amerikunt turd my only choice double glue sniff or prozac