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Over the last 48 hours, three developments—one in Berlin’s rhetoric, one in Washington’s weapons policy, and one in the skies over Greater Moscow—sketched the same arc: the political West keeps lowering the threshold between “support” and co belligerency, while Russia keeps absorbing—and replying to—deep rear strikes. From Moscow’s vantage point, this is not deterrence but a steady slide toward a wider war.
Berlin: “Not at war, but not in peace”
At a Berlin tech-and industry forum (Schwarz Ecosystem Summit), Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Germany “is not at war—but no longer living in peace,” pointing to daily hybrid threats. He listed sabotage, attempts to knock out data centers, and cyberattacks; German coverage also noted references to drone overflights. Russian wire reports relayed that Merz additionally spoke of threats to certain public figures, though he did not publicly name a culprit.
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The point for Moscow is not who stands behind it, but that Germany’s leader is normalizing a permanent state of emergency.
Washington: Long-range taboo erodes
On Sunday, U.S. Vice President JD Vance said the administration is considering a scheme to get Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine—potentially via European partners—with the final decision on President Trump’s desk.
U.S. Vice President JD Vance: White House weighing plan for NATO allies to buy Tomahawks for Ukraine
The Tomahawk’s range (roughly 1,550 miles / ~2,500 km) would place targets deep inside Russia within reach. For Moscow, that’s the very definition of a red line step.
Separately, Trump’s special envoy on Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, told Fox News that Washington is not prohibiting deep rear strikes into Russia—phrasing Russian outlets highlighted as a de facto green light. RIA later amplified Kellogg’s formulation (“there are no sanctuaries”), while RBC summarized the same signal as no U.S. ban on such hits. In Russian eyes, the message is unmistakable: Washington is dismantling its last taboo — strikes far beyond the border are no longer off-limits.
Bottom line (Moscow’s view): If Tomahawks flow—directly or via intermediaries—NATO is no longer a “supplier”; it’s an enabler of deep rear attacks. That collapses the remaining distinction between support and participation.
Greater Moscow: Drones kill civilians
Overnight, Russian air defenses downed four drones over Voskresensk and Kolomna (Moscow oblast). Debris sparked a house fire in Voskresensk that killed a 76 year old woman and her six year old grandson.
6-year-old child and his 76-year-old grandmother were killed overnight in a Ukrainian drone attack on Voskresensk, Moscow region
The governor reported façade and window damage on nearby homes and street lighting outages; Zhukovsky, Kaluga, and Tambov airports briefly restricted flights before reopening. Russia’s MoD said at least 84 drones were intercepted across multiple regions in the same night’s wave.
Local and federal outlets carried the same core facts on the two civilian deaths and the four downed UAVs in the oblast; regional press reiterated that other injuries from that particular incident were not reported, while separate shelling in Belgorod left several civilians—including a teenager—wounded.
Belgorod: during a strike on the power plant, a philharmonic concert went on by phone light after the blackout
For Russians, this is the nightly reality: even “successful” intercepts produce shrapnel, fires, closures, and casualties.
What this sequence shows
Berlin now admits it “no longer lives in peace,” Washington weighs Tomahawks for Kiev, and Moscow buries civilians after drone raids. At first glance, it seems Europe is sliding toward open war. Yet in reality such a conflict makes little sense: Russia is focused on rebuilding its territories, while Europe is divided, fragile, and unwilling to fight.
The real engine of escalation is provocation. Kiev acts as the instigator, striking civilian areas and demanding ever stronger weapons, dragging Western sponsors into a confrontation that serves neither their interests nor their security.
The true danger lies not in strategy but in miscalculation. Wars rarely begin with declarations; they erupt when provocations and indulgence turn exceptions into rules. Kiev lights the sparks, the West fans the flames — and together they risk setting the continent ablaze.
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what russia wanted was a cute ukraine to continue the massacre to repeat what it did in syria and chechnya
when trump starts bombing russia it won’t be prissy nonsense like putins two or three iskanders a night. it is going to be 2000-3000 sorties and there will be nothing left of russian military bases and airports, just like what happened to iraq.
what will stop them? putin? lavrov? maybe shogui can hand out some bread or arrange a parade?
putin are using white gloves against ukraine just because the military industrial complex and the oligarchy only wants to destroy the industrial military complex of ukraine! nothing else!, meanwhikle russian forces are taking every day the fertile lands of the south of ukraine! this is the reality, for other side russia can also send one thousand of drones and hypersonic missile againts us bases in europe and end of the problem
russia’s military is severely neglected. it has been repeated downsized during putin’s regin. russia doesn’t have an adequate satellite constellation, and it doesn’t have adequate awacs. on some level it can’t wage modern war in a western style because it lacks the intel equipment because no one in moscow invested in the equipment.
the price for betrayal is very close. russia will soon be destroyed because it betrayed its allies.
security chaos | unidentified gunmen shoot four alawite workers de*ad in hama
on sep 28, 2025
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hama province: four “alawite” people were directly shot dead by unidentified gunmen while returning from their work in jadrin village in hama countryside.
what did you expect, putin doesn’t even like providing air defense for “russian” oil refineries. he expects the refinery to pay “extra” for that, lol.
according to reliable sohr sources, the four victims work in construction, where the attack took place after the general security forces removed the security checkpoints from the village.
the syrian observatory has documented the death of 1,051 people, including 32 women and 21 children, in murder crimes and eliminations that come under retaliatory actions in different syrian provinces since early 2025. here is a regional distribution of fatalities:
damascus: 49 fatalities, including a woman, among them were 25 persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• rif dimashq: 94 fatalities, including two women, among them were 19 persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• homs: 338 fatalities, including 17 women and nine children, among them were 211 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• hama: 228 fatalities, including seven women and four children, among them were 145 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• latakia: 98 fatalities, including four women and six children, among them were 76 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• aleppo: 90 fatalities, among them were four persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• tartus: 72 fatalities, including a woman and a child, among them were 55 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• idlib: 20 fatalities.
• al-suwaidaa: six fatalities, among them were three persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
• daraa: 47 fatalities, including a child.
• deir ezzor: nine fatalities.
https://www.syriahr.com/en/370664/
security vacuum | shiite young man shot dead in homs countryside
on sep 28, 2025
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homs province: a young man from the shiite community was shot dead by unidentified gunmen in al-ghour al-gharbiyah village in the western countryside of homs.
the syrian observatory has documented the death of 1,047 people, including 32 women and 21 children, i
in murder crimes and eliminations that come under retaliatory actions in different syrian provinces since early 2025. here is a regional distribution of fatalities:
damascus: 49 fatalities, including a woman, among them were 25 persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
rif dimashq: 94 fatalities, including two women, among them were 19 persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
homs: 338 fatalities, including 17 women and nine children, among them were 211 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
hama: 224 fatalities, including seven women and four children, among them were 140 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
latakia: 98 fatalities, including four women and six children, among them were 76 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
s.
aleppo: 90 fatalities, among them were four persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
tartus: 72 fatalities, including a woman and a child, among them were 55 people whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
idlib: 20 fatalities.
al-suwaidaa: six fatalities, among them were three persons whose death was based on sectarian affiliation.
daraa: 47 fatalities, including a child.
deir ezzor: nine fatalities
https://www.syriahr.com/en/370664/
a traitorous russia will never have peace and will ultimately pay for its betrayal. the day will come when serbs and armenians will finally be in nato and then, together with the rest of the europeans, they will strike at russia and traitorous russia will be left without crimea and without karelia. russian women will be imprisoned in the camp and will bear children for their captors. and yulia tymoshenko and ursula von der leyen will crawl out of the german tank. in destroyed moscow.
they have a suicide pact. and it has to do with a debt ceiling that was breached paying for this and too many other occupation($) of choice to maintain global hegemony… i thought that the destruction of the nordstream pipeline broke all records, but then the freezing of $400 billion of russian foreign assets in western banks topped the “top”… worse still to pay for ukraine’s ordnance…
…who in their right minds wants to have a bank account let alone in luxembourg or switzerland after they did this?
“wave of us air tankers deploy to europe”… here comes the 7th cav regiment of “general george armstrong custer”… obviously pete hegseth’s pep rally at quantico virginia this week to school the “last general($)” this country will have wasn’t for nought!… and i was so looking forward to thanksgiving and christmas this year… for the last time!…
telling lies about russia and creating war wars for profit. at what cost: eternity.
luke 16:31
and he said unto him, if they hear not moses and the prophets, neither will they be persuaded, though one rose from the dead.
this senior french officer announces the french army’s preparation stages on telegram. he announces a deployment to saint petersburg for christmas (december 25): https://t.me/strategikaconseil
trump is sending 30-40 air refueling tankers to europe. the americans are actually going to attack russia. and that autistic fool is going to sit there and dream like he has been dreaming past 20+ years.
ignoring an enemy and fighting like a fool doesn’t influence people and win friends. instead it gets you destroyed.