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NOVEMBER 2024

Military Situation in Eastern Ukraine, Before and After the “Harvest” Ceasefire (Infographics)

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On July 22nd, the sides in the conflict in eastern Ukraine – the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) and forces the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics (DPR and LPR) reached a “harvest” ceasefire agreement, through a Normandy Four-format of negotiation, with representatives of Ukraine, Russia, Germany and France in attendance.

Military Situation in Eastern Ukraine, Before and After the "Harvest" Ceasefire (Infographics)

Click to see the full-size image

Following is a short sum-up providing an overview of what each side claims it “receives” from the other and how that is presented in the over-all “neutral” reports by the OSCE.

The data presents information from the Ukrainian Armed Forces over the period from July 8th to August 8th, with the same being true for the information for the DPR and LPR.

Due to the way the OSCE makes it bi-weekly reports, the information provided is from July 1st to July 28th, since the next report is due in several days. But it, too, presents a picture of “before and after” of the “harvest” ceasefire.

In total, the Ukrainian side reported it had observed 292 violations by the “Russian-backed forces,” as it doesn’t specifically report if the LPR or DPR “did it.”

On July 22nd, Ukraine noted no violations.

There was a noticeable reduction following the July 22nd ceasefire. Over the entire period 10 Ukrainian soldiers were killed and 30 were wounded. 4 of those were killed after the ceasefire, and according to the DPR and LPR they died by stepping on a landmine, while the Ukrainian side claims they were struck by the shelling in one of the reported cases of violations.

One civilian was killed in a grenade blast, prior to July 22nd.

Following is the information reported by the DPR and LPR. From the data one obvious stands out – the DPR is taking the blunt of Ukrainian Armed Forces, simply because Donetsk is much closer to the separation line. The LPR receives quite the small number of attacks.

According to the DPR:

Over the entire period it was subject to 332 violations, and still there was a reduction following the ceasefire, but there were no days without any violations. Even on July 22nd, the DPR noted 5 ceasefire violations.

Victims are unclear, since the DPR in its reports doesn’t say if there were any victims, it reports on civilian infrastructure, which seldom gets damaged. But it appears that the UAF are attempting to target civilian infrastructure such as power plants, water purifying stations and simply residential areas.

According to the LPR:

Over the period there were 46 violations, there was no noticeable reduction from before and after the ceasefire agreement. Most days it saw no violations, with the most in one day being 5.

No civilian casualties were reported and some civilian infrastructure was damaged. Similarly to the DPR, it appears that the UAF are attempting to “starve” out the LPR, or maybe they’re just quite bad at aiming properly.

In its weekly reports the OSCE’s Special Monitoring Mission to Ukraine doesn’t provide specific data on who exactly carried out the violations:

Regardless, the date over two separate two-week periods are as follows:

  • Between July 1st and 14th – 3 civilians were killed and 13 injured. The SMM recorded over 14,000 ceasefire violations.
  • Between July 15th and July 28th – no civilian deaths were recorded. he SMM recorded over 6,000 ceasefire violations. Over 75 percent of ceasefire violations were recorded in the first six days of the reporting period, prior to the recommitment coming into effect.

So, from July 1st to 28th there were approximately 6,000 ceasefire violations. The ones reported by the sides are approximately 700. Even keeping in mind that the DPR reporting sometimes also mentions how many exactly shells the UAF launched, the number still doesn’t come nearly as high as these numbers.

So, it is quite apparent that somebody is misrepresenting what exactly is going on. But, more than anything, the massive discrepancy is due to the fact that the OSCE’s SMM counts each specific shot as one “violation,” while Ukraine, the DPR/LPR count each occasion of shelling as a separate “violation” and not each specific shot thereof.

On August 8, Ukraine’s Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) said that its counterintelligence forces had detained a citizen of Russia in Chernihiv region. The SBU claimed that the detained person was preparing to a sabotage attack on a military airport.

“During the authorized investigative actions at the place of residence of a perpetrator, the law enforcers confiscated three improvised explosive devices, almost two kilos of chemicals, electric detonators, two types of the explosives, annotations with the chemical formulas, specialized literature and schemes of the creation of the explosives. Besides, the materials were found which witness the gathering of the information at the object of diversion by a foreigner,” 112 Ukraine TV channel reported.

Regardless the real facts behind the detention, media coverage on it will contribute to a further destabilization of the sitaution in eastern Ukraine. The SBU is well known for detaining ordinary people and fabricating ‘terrorism-related’ crimes with political purposes.

On August 9, the DPR released a statement saying that the SBU has increased pressure, including physical threats and psychological pressure, on relatives of members of DPR self-defense forces. The goal of these efforts is to force them to participate in intelligence gathering operations against the DPR. The DPR recalled illegal detentions, tourtoring and hidden detention camps (so-called black sites) that are widely practiced by the Kiev government. The DPR representative emphasized that this behaviour does not help to settle the conflict rather contributing to its escalation.

Indeed, the current situation on the contact line between DPR/LPR forces and pro-Kiev forces does not seem to be corresponding with ‘peace-making’ remarks by recently elected Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

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Toronto Tonto

Russian troops must leave Ukraine and all other countries it invaded .

occupybacon

Yeah, leave Georgia, Moldavia, Chechnya, Kurile, Kaliningrad, Finland, Tatarstan, Siberia…

AM Hants

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/073c75f618542efb2d5be9666cf9a1a0f3fde301f6a727fc81f407cf642b87ed.jpg

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a22f5706995b448f222110da2826cef6d66de99759c1eaf36ff2c64c39ab60d6.jpg

occupybacon

Russia doesn’t want war with a powerful nation like their size, just with small nations that can pe picked one by one. If it wasn’t the nukes USA could fight the rest of the world alone.

Black Waters

That’s actually the opposite, you described the U.S gestapo.

occupybacon

Russia can’t take over states newr its border while USA defeat in few weeks state on the other side of the World and that without years of preparations – like Russia did with Georgia and they couldn’t reach their capital.

AM Hants

LOL, just re-reading the comments. Which reminds me of a TV programme, UK media put out last night.

It was one of our Chef’s who turned up on a tiny Island, called Granada. Who only had around 112,000 occupants in a land covering about 12 miles, by 7 miles.

That tiny little Island, was the only won that the US, inspite of it’s many battles, since 4 July 1776, actually won, back in the 20th century, under Reagan. The only battle the US won in the 20th century and it took them months.

Even, the pig farmers in Vietnam saw off the US Forces. There again, they did have a lot of help from ‘the Hanoi Canary, known as John McCain’, didn’t they? Remember, he was hosted in the Hanoi Hilton, whilst posing as a prisoner of war and selling out his friends and work colleagues.

There again, no doubt his old man, when working under President Johnson, and acting out his Admiral fantasies, had no problems selling out the US sailors, who got taken out by a friendly nation, whilst serving on the USS Liberty. Now what Commander in Chiefs, take the side of the oppressor, over their Forces and what types of people, support them, whilst holding a senior position in the same Navy?

occupybacon

Russia didn’t win a real war alone in the past 150 years. By real war I mean not Crimea or Chechnya.

??BLQ8K88K

What what obviously you eating sis placenta jerky again. It’s for her beauty regiment

occupybacon

You have an obsession with that placenta, don’t you?

??BLQ8K88K

Geez smart guy The rest of the world can fight your fat filled sister If her prolapse was not so ghastly

SOUND LIKE A.FAT PUTRID BABY WITH WHAT IF SCENARIO IF MOM WAS NOT D/P WHORE WITH SIS, I.MAY FIST HER. IF MOM DID NOT STAR,SHE A STAR IN DIRTY HOUSTON 1000 REMAKE #MOMMY PROLAPSE BEATER 2000 I WOULD FIST HER WHAT IF THE us FAT( A )DID NOT HAVE NUKES THE WORLD CAN GAS ALL THE HERECTICS IN BIG BELSEN FIRE PIT Y SEE PLACENTA JERKY BOY WHAT IF DONT CUT IT

occupybacon

Lol mr angry ruskie i’m not american, hungry much?

Toronto Tonto

Hungry fat and desperate and drunk standard loser .

AM Hants

Do you mean Occupy Bacon?

AM Hants

Sorry, having difficulty in translating your comment.

How many battles has the US won, on her own, in the last century? Even the pig farmers of Vietnam, saw off the US Forces, who came to invade. Not forgetting the only battle the US won, back in the 20th century, was against a tiny Island, known as Grenada. Just how long did that take, back in the days of Reagan?

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9474da90e70a00bcd6f5c0b78c5f359df9258083bc988f6cf0c3e7e2fdab07d0.jpg

Since, gaining independence from Great Britain, the US has only had around 19 years peace in total.

Russia, never goes looking for war, however, she is more than capable of fighting her own corner. Never forgetting the first priority of Government is the national security and defence of it’s nation, people and dependent territories. Not trying to make Israel Great Again, like so many other nations do.

occupybacon

Yeah, Russia trully love its people unlike the West that doesn’t give a shit on its people, that’s why everybody wants to migrate in Russia not the West

AM Hants

Know loads of people who wish to migrate to Russia. Owing to pure freedom, a decent, organic diet, beautiful art, culture and not forgetting the traditions. Plus, intelligent banter, wit and decent conversation.

Now what is there not to love about Russia, when you compare lifestyles of 21st century Russia, to 21st Century UK or even US come to that?

occupybacon

You personally know loads of people who wish to migrate to Russia? Intelligent banter, wit and decent conversation, like you have here?

AM Hants

You gotta be joking. Intelligent banter, went out decades ago, over in the UK.

occupybacon

So they are old, with mental deficits like you?

AM Hants

Darling, you might think it fun to mock the mentally impaired, but, then that is you and what I assume is typical of your behaviour. I have got no problems with my age or who I am. So carry on with your petty, personal insults.

occupybacon

I’ve seen you are not mentally impaired at all in your post about the ‘average’ Russian pensioner GM free diet being represented Putin vs ‘average’ American being represented by…Sahar Tabar from Iran

Styx

back off, repulsive scumbag.

Toronto Tonto

Your fuckin wacked man , is that what they told you . GO GO GO check out the wasteland dumbazz.

Styx

“Your fuckin wacked man , is that what they told you . GO GO GO check out the wasteland dumbazz.”

I am trailing you very closely, ukro-nazzi scum tonto.

Prison is the only suitable place of residence for you and you will find yourself locked up in one much sooner than you think.

Toronto Tonto

That’s where you are I bet , rape your little brother did ya .

Styx

“That’s where you are I bet , rape your little brother did ya .”

You can’t help being a scum, can ya, tonto.

Did other kids at school beat you up frequently for being so obnoxious ?

AM Hants

Wow, is that the soundbite, old General Harding is handing out to his porn squad this week?

AM Hants

Fun

RUSSIAN TU-134 amazing LANDING on HIGHWAY!… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7EWHasX2R8

AMAZING FOOTAGE: Russian Jets Land On a Highway!… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jZ_uHERnwvI

……………….

Russian Farming (Non GM Products)

From Russia With Wheat! Russia’s Farmers Feeding Half The World Thanks To Biggest Grain Harvest Ever… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JP9YK0mMiuQ

Russian Ice Cream is Quickly Winning Over China… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nqXlbT5GoZc

……………….

Polar Nights & Northern Lights. Natural wonders and life in Murmansk Region with James Brown… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lI5er1Evo3s&t=171s

………………

10 Best Places to Visit in Russia – Travel Video… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YrNxPr4PKQo

……………….

Looks good to me.

cechas vodobenikov

the USA has lost all wars in its history; the US only attacks weak defenseless nations

Neo Onh

Russia must liberate Novorossia just like Crimea!

occupybacon

Keep dreaming, new sanctions wave and they starve like before

Toronto Tonto

That dream is long gone .

Zionism = EVIL

Ukrainians are the fake element of Russian history, just like the fake Zionist narrative for the occupation of Arab Palestine. They live in a Russian country with a complex history and a polyglot composition linked to mother Russia eternally. The Western part was incorporated into the Soviet Union in 1939. Crimea, 80 percent of whose population is Russian , became part of Ukraine only in 1954 , when Nikita Khrushchev, a Ukrainian by birth, awarded it as part of the 300th-year celebration of a Russian agreement with the Cossacks. The west is nominally Catholic; the east largely Russian Orthodox. Any attempt by Jews and western warmongers to control Ukraine as a cockpit to destabilize Russia will end in disaster as the Nazis found out too.

occupybacon

blahblahbla blablahblah blahblablabla

Gary Sellars

No need. Once nature takes its course, the failed Ukopi experiment will collapse and the people of the south & east will naturally shift their allegiances to the rest of the Russian cultural space.

cechas vodobenikov

and Mariopal, Odessa

cechas vodobenikov

Yes—it is a frozen republic—u can donate to the Donbass humanitarian fund—po box3348; ft Myers, FL 33918 tax deductible

AM Hants

Out of curiousity, do you remember Porkie, tearing up the Russian Ukraine Friendship Treaty 1997? Well, that was the only thing, that acknowledge the borders of Ukraine and Russia, whilst they were both part of the CIS. Owing to the fact that neither Ukraine nor Russia, ratified their borders, in accordance with international law, since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

So does that mean, that now Porkie tore up the agreement, Novorussia, or Eastern Ukraine, goes back to Russia? Crimea, is already sorted, but, if they had not voted to return home to Russia, surely they would be in the same predicament?

??BLQ8K88K

U readin siko Reading wiki Moldova? My god man Them givin ugly woman away.to.desperate Americans..name all us fat kikes Occupy territories Bikin atoll not included

Remember usa is below Canada So other zone Let me.start GUAM NOW.CONTINUE MONMY LITTLE.SHIT EATER

occupybacon

Is that ruskie rap? or voodoo?

Gary Sellars

Get stuffed Ukrotrash.

Losers don’t get to make demands :-D

Zionism = EVIL

Well, let’s take a historical perspective dumbass JEW arsehole, Ukraine is an integral part of Russia since the advent of Orthodoxy around a millennium ago. It was named Kievan-Rus for a reason as all important events of Russian religion and politics originate from Russian Ukraine. The Zionist infested so-called West must understand that, to Russia, Ukraine can never be just a foreign country. Russian history began in what was called Kievan-Rus. The Russian religion spread from there. Ukraine has been part of Russia for centuries, and their histories were intertwined before then. Some of the most important battles for Russian freedom, starting with the Battle of Poltava in 1709 , were fought on Ukrainian soil. The Black Sea Fleet — Russia’s means of projecting power in the Mediterranean and beyond— is based in Sevastopol, in Crimea since it was won over from the defeated Ottomans. Even such famed dissidents as Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and Joseph Brodsky insisted that Ukraine was an integral part of Russian history and, indeed, of Russia. Ukraine is eternally Russian.

??BLQ8K88K

Non Russian I must admit the infestation in full force..AIPAC not hiding anymore Them here and showing face with adjusted Hate law For them Will hate Israel No law will stop me Vile satanic evettes

BLM entitle tool Sick sick people All teachers of Texas must pledge allegiance to Zionist land.

Zionism = EVIL

Jew scum are destroying western societies and are parasitic endless evil.

??BLQ8K88K

You must leave frieland pantie lips

Are u demanding How sweet of tonto The native blame Shit lazy creeps #pipeline

The natives who drink sodium by the liters

FLAT ASS IS NOT NEVER WILL BE A WEST THING

occupybacon

here we go bro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTIibS2OSTI

Black Waters

Everytime that you mention Ukraine, the occupybacon paid troll and his girl Toronton troll come right away to push some fresh U.S propaganda, you know… because ins’t enough with all the damage that the U.S it’s already doing to the whole planet/nations this psychos came here to push with more propaganda.-

??BLQ8K88K

Occupy bacon Tonto girl Are non canadien

Prolapse junkie from down south

??BLQ8K88K

No real canadien have Use that flag

cechas vodobenikov

the murikan barbarians have 1000 bases on foreign land and troops in 70% of the world’s nations—a self doubting cowardly people will never challenge Russia’s protection of the Osetians, Abkhaz, Armenians, Pridnestrovia, Russians in the Ukrop nazi US allied nation…as sitting bull observed: “the love of possessions is a disease w them. they steal from the weak and the poor and give to the rich that rule. if murk was twice the size, it would not have been enough for them”…..amerikans, being sexually repressed, they sublimate their desire w imperialism and marijuana

Toronto Tonto

You need some help there man ..

Zionism = EVIL

Ukraine is an eternal part of Russia and needs to be back with the motherland.

Toronto Tonto

Russia is the only country on this globe still changing borders by gun since 1945 . When they collapse this year we will divide up the wasteland to the countries they stole from .

Styx

Dream on, demented nazzi scum.

Toronto Tonto

Hey dikliks what do you think will blow up in the Russian wasteland this week ???? I hope the gathering of fed up Russians in red square is what blows up and they get putin and pals . what do you think dinks !!!

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