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Moldova About To Escalate Tensions With Russia

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Moldova About To Escalate Tensions With Russia

Moldovan President Maia Sandu visits France

Written by Lucas Leiroz, journalist, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, geopolitical consultant

Tensions in the post-Soviet space are escalating. Moldova recently signed an important military cooperation agreement with France, which tends to generate serious consequences for the stability of regional security, considering Paris’ interest in fomenting war against Moscow. In this context, many analysts fear that new violence could emerge in the pro-Russian separatist region of Transnistria, as Russia would be forced to intervene in such a conflict.

On March 7, Moldovan President Maia Sandu signed a military pact with France during a visit to Paris. On the occasion, French President Emmanuel Macron promised “unwavering support” on security and defense issues. Both sides agree that increased defense cooperation is a necessary step to confront what they call the “Russian advance.” According to them, if Moscow is not contained in Ukraine, the Russian government will launch new military actions in neighboring countries to gain more territories and zones of influence. In this sense, increasing French military would be a way of ensuring that the war “does not spread” towards Moldova.

The agreement establishes military cooperation in several sectors, mainly in arms supply contracts. Furthermore, French troops are expected to train the Moldovan armed forces. Moldovan officials have said recently that the country needs immediate help to reform its military structure to be ready for a possible conflict. Alone, Moldova is unable to overcome its current military weakness, which is why it is seeking Western help.

In parallel to this, Macron’s France has been marked by the constant attempt to further militarize the post-Soviet space and foment destabilization in the Russian strategic environment. Paris has been the main agent of disruption in Russian-Western relations recently, mobilizing “war preparation” efforts against Moscow in Europe. This is part of President Macron’s personal project to designate himself internationally as a “leader of all of Europe”, but it is also a reflection of the strategic irrationality that has today become a central aspect of Western foreign policy.

Previously, France had already started a similar project to fuel conflict in the post-Soviet space through Armenia. Paris has been endorsing the Pashinyan regime and stimulating anti-Russian sentiments in the Caucasus. The French government is playing a fundamental role in NATO’s plan to control both sides of the Armenia-Azerbaijan crisis, creating both an alliance between the US, EU and Yerevan and an alliance between Turkey and Baku. The aim of all this is simply to increase NATO’s presence in the Caucasus and generate military pressure on the Russian strategic environment.

Now, by encouraging Moldova to militarize, France is taking a step further in its anti-Russian destabilization project. Moldova has an extremely fragile domestic security architecture, as since 1992 the country has faced a separatist problem in the Transnistria region. Civil conflict has been frozen for decades – largely due to the presence of Russian peacekeepers in the region, dissuading the Moldovan government from launching a military offensive. However, like any other frozen conflict, hostilities could resume at any time if relations between the sides continue to deteriorate.

Moscow never recognized Transnistria as an independent country. For the Russians, it belongs to Moldovan territory, but both sides are required to reach a common agreement. As a region with a strong presence of ethnic Russians and Ukrainians, where the Russian language is considered native by citizens, the region deserves a special status in Moldovan politics, as well as autonomy rights must be created for the local people. Moscow has already stated that if such peace conditions are established, Russian troops will leave the region. More than that, Russia has also made it clear that it is even willing to destroy the Soviet-era weapons depots that remain in Transnistria, advancing regional demilitarization.

However, instead of seeking demilitarization, pro-Western sectors in Moldova prefer to increase ties with NATO and create even more problems with Russia. For Moldovan elites, Russia is an enemy country that must be approached with hostility. For this reason, since 2022, the West has tacitly encouraged Moldova to seek a military solution in Transnistria. The calculation is simple: the hope is to force Moscow to send troops to protect the Transnistrian people, creating a new proxy conflict and opening yet another flank for Russia.

There has been an internal balance in Moldova. Some political sectors continue to object to considering Russia and Transnistria as “threats”, but the rapprochement with France indicates that pro-war groups are gaining momentum in national politics. It is important for Moldovans to remember that they are not part of NATO, and are therefore not protected by the American military umbrella – which means that, if there really is a conflict, they will be abandoned by the West and used as mere cannon fodder, precisely as happened with Ukraine.

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Erik 1953

the escalation of this war is planned long ago, very long ago. so, all they need is some excuse to kill more europeans. to make some room for the migrants.

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Local of Mairupol

transnistria and odessa will be connected to russia mainland soon. cope nazees

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Emanuel Gomes Bueno - Brasil

assim seja, odessa seja da rússia o quanto antes.

Vichy France

people who surrender a lot and make love with their faces can not be trusted

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BunkerDwellers

must be some bribe and happy line of horseshit for a chihuahua official to be starting stuff with russia while ukraine is being dismantled and depopulated of men.

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Emanuel Gomes Bueno - Brasil

o marica do emmanuel macron acha que pode lutar contra a rússia. bastardo afeminado, sabemos que os franceses não passam de afeminados que não sabem lutar. não adianta armar a moldávia, paris será varrida do mapa.

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Christopher

apesar do que lhe foi ensinado antes de 1945, você descobrirá que os franceses têm uma longa história de sucesso militar.

Mike

say goodbye to transnistria and gagauzia regions moldova. dumbasses.

kotromanic

to get there russia needs to move across ukraine. they may get there in time but only buy taking casualties and that’s the whole plan. the moldovans will force the russians to make a choice. either let their people in transnistria be slaughered or push their forces faster through ukraine and giving up their slow plan to erode the ukrainian forces.

Kev not Kiev

you seem to be oblivious to two key elements that make your arguement a mute point. number one, transnistria has a shite tonne of ammo, nato doesn’t, and number two: khinzal pizza delivery can arrive in under 30 minutes or the denazification is free.

kotromanic

you think the russians can stopp a move of romanian and moldovan forces on transnistria just with missliles? i would like to share your optimism but i am sceptic in this. sure they can inflict massive damage but if there are enough left to move into transnistria? how many troops does russia have there?

Nahavar

militarizing sheeps won’t help…. if they are willing to die for nothing it is up to them

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BunkerDwellers

getting rid of their fighting age populace and making the rest dependent on the freemason run state apparatus responsible for the mess does help them though. desperate and starving people will mostly go along with anything for a meal.

Kev not Kiev

we will just have to order khinzal pizza to all traitorous g7 parliaments… that will feed millions…free millions, er, freudian slip…

Keith

natostan will try what ever they can with no regard to that nations people if they get involved.

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Gneaus stapo

time to clean up the mess in the east. getting rid of that russian flathead rats nest is long overdue. make those ivans packing and moving.

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TomB.

lol our little nazi hurenkind moron still dreaming of an endsieg against russia that will become realiy like in april 1945 hahahaaa

Christopher

oh look, the troll has finished his hibernation, and has crawled out of his cave.

Cavery

moldova has an annual military budget of 112 million us dollars. put another way she can afford 15000 artillery shells per annum. at the height of the smo ukraine was firing 10000 per day. good luck moldova you’re going to need it.

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Vitex

sandu – just another wef clown like macron, arderne, trudeau, silina and kallas. pretty, conscienceless drones

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kotromanic

it is still remarkable how they are all put in place and do nothing special until they are activated and then do as much harm to their people as possible.

Sandu the EU lapdoggie

another washed up lapdog of the west ruining her country for imperial monsters

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Kev not Kiev

moldova is a frikken basket case, soviet minded citizens, with a puppet nato whore leadership divorced from any tangible notion of its own sovereignty, got its ass handed to it by transnistria rebels, and somehow thinks the russians can’t deliver khinzal pizza to their front door cause they already have domino’s? selling short on moldova, until braindead whore steps down.

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Stupo

nato clown show impotent stupified disunited defeated by russia they must now beg erdogon to teach them better manners

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TheUSEmpireOfMisery

moldova wants to turn their living space into ruins like ukraine for foreign interest. how is that bringing security to them? are all these leaders corrupt or just retarded?

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Christopher

moldova would be better advised to watch its western border, as romania is probably eyeing it for a land grab once the conflict in ukraine is over.

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kotromanic

thats probably the plan scare the moldovans by provokeing some russian reaction for attacking transnistria. the western media is guaranteed to ignore it until the russians react which will then again happen like allways “unprovoced, brutal and without any reason”. the textbook is old and still they manage to get away with it every single time.

Last edited 2 months ago by kotromanic
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