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Plan To Blockade Russian Shipping In Baltic Sea Breaks International Law And Could Provoke War

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Plan To Blockade Russian Shipping In Baltic Sea Breaks International Law And Could Provoke War

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Estonia’s plan to install St. Petersburg-targeting missiles will spectacularly backfire.

Written by Ahmed Adel, Cairo-based geopolitics and political economy researcher

Western intentions to arm Estonia with the most modern types of conventional weapons which can target Saint Petersburg, as well as the installation of a medium-range anti-missile defence system, suggests that the Baltic country is wanting to challenge Russia despite its military barely even having enough professional soldiers to field a single battalion. At the same time, and just as provocative, Estonian authorities discussed an introduction of a 24 nautical mile coastal zone in the Gulf of Finland to limit the navigation of Russian ships.

It is demonstrated that Estonia is a highly active anti-Russian state that hopes its actions will receive Western tributes and rewards. However, in pursuing this goal, the Baltic country is going as far as wanting to break international law by restricting Russian shipping in waters it has a right to navigate through.

Moscow has repeatedly warned that attempts to deploy offensive NATO weapons will immediately provoke retaliatory steps. By Estonia wanting to place weapon systems that can target Russia’s second largest city, it cannot be discounted that the Russian military will deploy the Iskander system or another type of weapon to completely cover Estonia’s sea, land and air territory.

It is recalled that Lithuania attempted to blockade the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad in 2022 by stopping rail and road transportation and attempted to justify the action because of the EU’s sanctions regime. This quickly failed as a military and economic blockade can lead to a ‘casus belli’ – a reason for war, which would not insure Lithuania under NATO’s “mutual defence” article.

Larger European NATO countries are rotating their units, as well as military equipment, including aviation and F-16 fighter jets, in the Baltic countries. The Baltic countries are full of foreign soldiers and equipment as they themselves cannot ensure their own security despite implementing policies that are extremely provocative and hostile to Russia.

The Russian ambassador in Tallinn, Vladimir Lipayev, who disclosed that Western countries plan to supply Estonia with the most modern types of conventional weapons, also said that the Anglos had an interest in creating an anti-Russian outpost in the Baltic country in order to carry out economic, political, cultural and military pressure on Russia.

However, the Baltic countries are playing with fire as the Ukraine war has demonstrated that Russia is capable of demilitarizing hostile states. Even Ukraine, which has all the resources of the West behind it and the second largest army in Europe after Russia, is failing to stem back the tide of war and territorial loss.

With the Ukrainian military appearing to be on course for an imminent collapse in 2023, the US and UK are escalating tensions so that continuous conflict can drain Russia’s resources and attention. An internationalized effort to involve as many countries as possible in a confrontation with Russia only puts countries under a puppet status at risk of Russian retaliation, as Ukraine shows.

As said, if Estonia were to blockade Russian ships, it cannot be protected under NATO’s Article 5 as it initiated the hostility by breaking international law. Understandably, the leading countries of the EU do not want to be exposed to a Russian counterattack, which is why the Baltics and Poland are being used as cannon fodder instead – just as Ukraine currently is.

With the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, a dividing line in the middle of the Gulf of Finland was agreed upon between Russia and newly independent Estonia. From this middle line, Finland and Estonia retreated three kilometres to allow Russia a six-kilometre channel for the free passage of Russian merchant and military fleets, thus actually making these international waters. In order to blockade Russia in the Gulf of Finland, it is necessary for Finland to implement the same policy. If Tallin unilaterally introduces such a zone in its territorial waters, then Russia has the option to use the Finnish part of the gulf.

For now, there is no indication that Finland plans to block Russian ships. If Finland and Estonia were to block Russian shipping, Moscow would have a strong case to appeal to the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, something that would surely humiliate a country like Finland which likes to pride itself on supposedly adhering to international law very strictly.

Therefore, although the Estonian side may be enthusiastic in enforcing anti-Russian measures on the encouragement of Anglo countries, there is a likelihood that regional countries like Finland and Germany will not want a new front of tensions with Russia and will attempt to coerce the Baltic country to moderate its attitude.

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Dud billions to africa to fail,completely:

Estonia is run by a packa homosexual tyrant try hard wannabes,they are minions yet irrelevant(period)

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Casus belli

24 nautical mile coastal zone in the Gulf of Finland to limit the navigation of Russian ships is a cause of war

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Isser Harel

European leaders are nothing but FM slaves and they will be as RACIST as they are told. Anything to finish Christianity in the East and then onto destroying other peoples of Faith. Muslims, Christians, Orthodox Jews and all people of faith must unite against this attack upon the Creation and fight like your life depends upon it because it does.

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Florian Geyer

The NATO ‘powers’ should remember the adage :- ” O What a tangled web we weave when our sole intention is to deceive.”

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Chris Gr

NATO was correct only before 1991. Now not.

ElCristeroAmericano

De Nazify, De Militarize and Re Sovietize the Baltics. They’re asking for it aren’t they?

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Chris Gr

No Soviets please. More Christianity please.

Isser Harel

I hope sincerely that the satanic cult responsible for this war of aggression against Russia gets their comeuppance. The mill of the gods grinds slowly…but finely. The arm of the moral universe is long, but it sways towards Justice. – MLK

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AliG

Is there a new casus bellum after Ukraine? First envoys are repelled now reasons for an armed conflict are coming up…

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Gorgeous George

Georgia was dismantled in 5 days. I give the Baltic dwarflets 24h if they try the funny stuff.

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Kenneth

The tri-baltic sluts need to suck less strange western dick underneath the table. it’s not a pretty look.

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Caesar

Imagine the bribes the politicians took from the globalist criminal mob to put all their population at risk!!For too many people with no moral ground money is the only value .

kotromanic

No bribes. They were all made by the us. Went throught there school, universities, thinktanks, transatlantic networks. They are who they are cause of the west. They do not know anything but the western way.

Psionists slaves of America

Their delusional ideas just show how desperate they are. Russia will win again and they already know it.

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Cromwell

Those Baltic Nazis are asking for it,no surprise they were Hitler fans in the War,if they start something with Russia there will only be a greasy spot left.

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Nonetheless

Russians were Hitlers fan as well, remember? Stalin and Hitler started the 2WW by attacking Poland together – don’t blame Balts…

Chris Gr

Stalin, not Russians. lol

Peppe il Sicario

Whatever is left of them, should be sent to that huge sink-hole in Siberia or somewhere in Russia and thrown down that terrestrial shit-hole to Hell.

Nahavar

that small shitty countries are pathetic and never learn

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Nonetheless

They did learn. That is why they are in the EU. And NATO. Russia soon will be removed, step by step from Western World. All russians deported back to Moscow Kingdom – the new North Korea…

Mark

NATO should hands off from Estonia and Lithuania for the peace in the region. No need more mess.

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Sausdog

Estonia and the balitc dwarf nations behave like a saussage dog, when his friend, the Rottweiler is present. They are insanely aggressive because they count on their big friend to protect them.

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30cm

Estonia is insanely aggressive because they thinks if ithey bark to Russia their big friend America will protect them.

bert33

So, russia has cruise missiles and warships and a ‘submarine’, whatever that is…

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Christopher

Estonia is like Chihuahua barking at a fully grown Russian Bear and expecting its barks to be taken seriously by the Bear.

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Pertti

There has been an unofficial nato coup in Finland and most Finns dont have a say in anything

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Chris Gr

Estonians are nice and peaceful peoples. Anyway, Ukraine has the seventh largest army in Europe not the second.

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Roger Dodger

Those 3 nazi baltic states should be wiped off the map. Permanently.

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