On Wednesday, several sources said that Russia, Turkey and Iran are about to reach a de-escalation agreement in Idlib province. It’s expected that the agreement will be agreed upon in Astana talks on Thursday.
However, sources from Astana said that many issues related to the supposed agreement were still un-solved.
Forces from Russia, Turkey and Iran will monitor the de-escalation zone in Idlib province, according to a report of the Russian state-run media outlet RT. Moreover, RT said that Egypt was intested in monitoring the de-escalation zone in Idlib too.
Meanwhile, the UK-based Asharq al-Awsat newspaper claimed that Russia, Turkey and Iran are about to launch a military operation against Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Idlib. Turkish-backed Free Syrian Army (FSA) groups will be the main force on the ground in the spouse operation, and it will be backed by the Russian and Turkish Air Forces, according to the report.
The newspaper claimed that the operation is a part of the de-escalation agreement. The Idlib de-escalation agreement and the military operation will be agreed upon in Astana talks on Thursday, according to it.
In a related development, Syrian opposition sources said that Russian military units were deployed in Taybat al-Imam and Mahardah towns in the northern Hama countryside. Furthermore, opposition sources claimed that the Russian military established an observation center in Mahardah town.
Syrian opposition activists believe that the Russian deployment is part of the upcoming de-escalation agreement in the province. Some activist even believe that the Asharq al-Awsat report is true and these units will be part of the upcoming anti-HTS operation in Idlib.
It’s very unlikely that HTS would approve any peaceful agreement that reduces its influence in its heartland – Idlib. In this case Russia, Turkey and Iran will have to enforce their agreement on the ground, indeed.
When was the last time US troops were sent somewhere and didnt blow the shit out of everything? Why are Russian troops perfectly capable of just ‘policing’ but US troops can only shoot shit up?
Discipline
The mission parameters – US currently directly operate in or over non-compliant foreign countries to exert control by force and threat – do as we say or the overt violence continues. That mission culture simply flows from the top down.
Article image – the AK74 hung over vehicle tow-bar is classic.
a lot of false flags is circling around the zio satanic losers …. their defeat will be the only truth that will prevail
An assault on HTS in Idlib with FSA as the main force on the ground?
Wild phanatasy imo. AAS and allies could not prevent HTS taking over most of Idlib province, they lost the majority of their forces there, HTS took over the borderregion with Turkey, so Turkey cannot resupply the remaining few forces of FSA and AAS.
This will leave SAA to resupply AAS and FSA, which will not happen.
Beyond that, FSA and AAS forces have shown to be very unsuccesfull against determined opposition. One can say what one wants, but HTS forces were the backbone of any military move by the opposition.
If the operation starts this way, very soon FSA and AAS will be defeated, even with airsupport. At that time SAA will have to intervene on a large scale and maybe even SDF too, who owe Russia somewhat for Afrin de-escalation.
A side effect could be that if Turkey redeploys most of the 12 to 15k mercenary arab fighters from Azaz to Idlib (good riddence will be both their and my opinion, it will show Azaz as the colony it is. SDF might be tempted to ….
You forget tat the HTS supply chain is dependent of what comes or hopefully ‘ uses to come’ via Turkey or what they can capture.
If one has dwindling supplies, than it is better to use everything more or less now then to wait untill all is gone. In case they attack, they can capture supplies, something relatively easy against NDF forces, and they will be able to keep on buying from corrupt suppliers.
They are in an strategically bad position and their choices are not to take the best ones, but the least bad ones.
Waiting for the moment they will be attacked and hope for the best seems like the worst option.
The current attempts by HTS and it’s few remaining allies have proven to be heavy losses for them, even ISIS is crumbling under heavy unsustainable losses. Whom do you think will be next in the battle for Syria and Iraq and many will be forced to the sidelines.
HTS is crumbling as defections from it continue they are weaker than last reported as several more factions have joined the SAA, seems others are trying to reconcile in the region. The end of the proxy war of US,France,UK,Germany,Israel and the KSA/GCC, all the handwriting is on the wall it says” Shit attracts the fleas!” ,RFLMAO.
Hahaha :) A classic Russian move. Lol, they made my day! During WWII (it was always like that but 1941-45 is close.) there was a way to get a crime excuse/pardon from state – it was called “Искупить кровью” ~ “Pay in blood”.
yes, and your crime hordes raped women and girls in mass.
i see, you are also now same stupid.
That’s what you try to lie about us – inventing “zio version” of history. Some of you are so miserable that they dare to forget who resqued yuur kind from nazi ovens.
that is the real history, rapist!
They were like most during the war dying from starvation and disease very brutal disease is Typhus if faced today it would be no less tragic possibly millions more. They would have had to have 5 million survivors in order to have 1 million left today. The Soviets started the oven propaganda , back then they all needed to benefit from the propaganda to cover up the real brutality that exists in war , just as it exists today.
Mmm a good way to get rid of the FSA, feed them into a Al Nusra meat grinder and sit back and watch the fireworks.
The SAA has a sizable force in the region and will have more eventually s they continue to get more defectors everyday. Apparently more factions are starting to jump ship as HTS is no longer the most powerful group.
Do you really understand the article. It said that the operation will be supported by Turkish and Russian air power. So in effect all three countries will cooperate in this. Also don’t forget that Turkish soldiers will directly get involved no matter whatever they said contrary. That also means that Idlib will fall to FSA/Turkish influence.
My own information source in Idlib is infact acknowledging this report as truth but also said that his own source is claiming that if it were to be actually true, then it has something to do with Turkey agreeing to buy the S-400 from Russia moreso on Russian credit. If this after all turned out to be true, I’m afraid I have to disagree with this tactics because this will mean selling and partitioning out of Syrian land. It will be evident that using Russian credit is a way of Erdogan guaranteeing himself that Russia will hold on to their own end of the deal. I really hope this is not true after all.