On August 26, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) deployed large forces in the southeastern Idlib countryside and the southwestern Aleppo countryside as a part of its ongoing perpetrations for a military operation against militants in northern Syria, according to Syrian al-Masdar News blog.
According to the report, the upcoming operation may cover the militant-held areas around the city of Aleppo. Previously, it was thought that the operation will be limited to northern Hama and northern Lattakia.
Since the beginning of this month, thousands of Syrian soldiers and hundreds of heavy military equipment have been deployed around the northern governorate of Idlib. Elite units such as the SAA 4th Division, the 5th Assault Corps, the Tiger Forces and even hundreds of former Free Syrian Army (FSA) fighters will participate in the upcoming operation.
Meanwhile, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its Turkish-backed allies continue to build fortifications and reinforce their positions along the frontline with the SAA. The radical group also arrested dozens of civilians in northern Syria accusing them of spying for the Syrian intelligence.
Local observers believe that HTS and its allies will fail to repel any large-scale on its remaining positions in northern Syria because the SAA, backed up by the Russian Aerospace Forces, has a critical advantage in the fire power.
well get it on with.
Everything in its good time, HTS will be crushed and the terrorist footprint in Syria will be greatly reduced.
i know that, but unless they make the next move, I will not know, if I am right in my analysis or not.
What is your analysis?
I think the SAA will try to push all mercenaries into afrin and from there to turkey along with the turkish army and from turkey to channel this mercenaries or how ever you care to call them into Greece and the balkan area.
West can not afford to lose ME and from the looks of it since they losing in all fronts there, next hot spot will be the balkan area, in order to involve russia in another war before ME is finish.
With this move bring russia and turkey in a head on collision, as in syria they may be allies base on need, but in the balkan area their national interest, is in direct conflict, with russias national interest. Is the only tramp card the west has left.
Under Balkan you mean Macedonia, Kosovo??!!.. I cant see any other hot spot on balkan…maybe B&H but west is to careful with B&H and wouldnt allowed war in bosnia- again…
you dont? Then you have no idea what is happening there do you? And no when I say balkan area I mean all balkan area and not isolated parts of it.
Ok…balkan is: bulgaria 100%,albania 100%,macedonia 100%,b&h 100%,kosovo 100%,montenegro 95%, greece 85%,serbia 75%,croatia 47%,slovenia 13%,romania 9%,turkey 5%. All of this countries except serbia and kosovo are members of NATO (b&h and macedonia are fresh candidates). So where we could expect this war? After bosnia and macedonia enter nato ..game is over.
bravo you catching up. Been a member of nato does not mean very much when shit hit the fan.
In Balkan Russia has no influebce. They lost all friendly countries and already Serbia is slowly declining from Russia. For Serbia is much more important the membership in EU. Turkeys interest in Balkan are fully unimportant.
ok got it, you really have no idea what reality in the balkans is.
West has not much options to drag russia in another conflict but the russians have much more options against west. To help AnsaarALLAH in yemen to help Hamas to help Imran Khan Pakistan to help iran in Air defence and air force weaponry and to help The Taliban as they have been doing it for quite some time along with Iranians.Russians are very cool minded and much wiser.
Just remember common sense does not go hand in hand with politics and Geo-strategies.
Letting these trained soldiers escape into Europe, would allow the US to regroup them and fight somewhere else. It’s already happening in Yemen and Afghanistan. Kill them, and the US will have to spend more money creating a new terror army. Wars are about money.
Letting? Look at the map and tell me how they stop them already it is a corridor open between Idlip-Afrin Turkey. And Sinbad wars in not about money, it is about power.
Money is power. Why is George Soros powerful? money. Why is the USA powerful? money.
Why did the UK/France defeat Germany in WWI? American money.
Why did the north defeat the south in the US civil war? Money from Rothschild.
Such a naive child.
No kid, money is just a by product, of power. unlike what you believe before you get serious money always need to build the power that will allow you to keep them. Hard for you may be to comprehend, since you fighting day to day, exactly for what you think is power. Money………. that you need them to pay your taxes to your masters.
Soros is just a front, with out the power behind him, that directs him and own him he be nothing but a statistic.
Wholly Shxt !! (exclamation only and not casting any doubt on what you have mapped out btw) If that were to happen ….. even if threatened to happen, Turkey will become a flaming inferno!!
you forget this terrorists are the ones turkey organized and supported. They be mixing them with civilians and sending them into europe. They been doing this for several years now.
Perhaps if you sent an Email to Presidents Assad and Putin ,asking the SAA and Russia to Hurry Up with the offensive, they will start earlier :)
Just a thought :)
I seriously consider that but then reality hit back and as an observer, it be a bad form to tell a player how to play in a game he is already winning with out my advice. P:-)
“Local observers believe that HTS and its allies will fail to repel any attack on its remaining positions in northern Syria due to the heavy fire power of the SAA and the Russian Aerospace Forces”
So the Russians are going to assist them directly in this attack?
Russia has stated several times to Erdogan that it would.
Thanks for the answer
I am a student in international relations.i have a question . Now what will happen with erdugan?hiw many options he still has.
Never claimed to be a fortune teller, so that is a tough question. ese
Options with Erdogan. Erdogan is not a member of US and NATO tumors.
Erdogan is allied with Assad, Rouhani, Putin, Xi and Imran Khan against US and NATO.
HTS is a legal target according to Astana agreements, signed by Turkey.
So Russia can destroy every HTS target it desires, without any objection from Turkey.
I did not know that, thanks
But when syrian forces will operate along 3 directiins toward idlib then what is the future of turkish FSA (SLA) which had been controling a large chunk around aleppo?
death? lol
FSA and SAA together will liberate Idlib from HTS etc.
Good to know this …… it probably explains why the HTS group is the group associated with the UK Intelligence plans to foment Air-Strikes against Syria on the basis of a staged and groundless ‘chemical weapons attack’ in S Idlib
This time, not alone will the Syrian Army take part in what should herald the final battles of this Syrian War, but Syria will be greatly assisted by both Russian and Chinese Forces ……… plus Iranian Officers together with Hezbollah!! They need to exterminate every last Terrorist within Idlip & Aleppo Governates!! They will achieve this but it will be a bloody fight!
What information do you have about Chinese forces taking part in the liberation of Idlib Gregory ?
I understand that a group of Chinese Commando Forces are in Syria and embedded with Syrian Army preparing for attack on Idlip and south & west of Aleppo
I hope you are correct Gregory.
Have a read of what I said above related to the Uygur Forces inserted into Idlib early in the war.
I am aware of that and also the very recent statement from the Chinese Foreign Minister that combat troops were going to be sent to assist the SAA in Idlib. However a day later the Chinese government issued a statement that this was not likely to happen.
My personal opinion is that Chinese troops in Syria would send a very large message to the US Coalition of Terror, that even they would choke on :)
The Chinese aren’t like the Americans or Europeans, they don’t say anything at all unless it’s important and they mean it, what their statement said is what it means, nothing more and nothing less. Well it might be more if the US or Turkey pushes back, then it might end up being more than China just helping to eliminate the Uygur fighters in Idlib, it could possibly end up with some Turks going home in body bags, yes I know NATO’s a big bad bully but that won’t matter to China, they don’t like being bullied. A few good news sources have also claimed the same thing Gregory did about imbedded Chinese forces in Syria, we won’t have long to find out if it’s correct. I’ll bet you they are, and in bigger numbers than we’d even dare to dream of. With China you don’t always have to wait for an official statement to know what about to happen, the sentiment you see in the Chinese media by the people themselves is usually in sync with the Chinese government, and nearly always tell us what’s about to happen before the officials channels do. Start checking Chinese media and see what the Chinese people say about Syria, you don’t even have to pay attention to the official government media, they’ll all tell you the same thing about Syria and Iran.
Time will tell as you say and it was Chinese infantry that forced the US + her poodle forces out of North Korea in 1953. Albeit at great cost to both sides.
I think you are wrong about Chinese…
Not so : my understanding is that a group of Chinese Commando Forces are in Syria, embedded with Syrian Army preparing for attack on Idlip and south & west of Aleppo.
See what I say above relating to the Uygur Force within Idlib.
Agreed, I think the Chinese assistance is purely financial. Russia would be feeling the financial cost long ago, if not for the deep pockets of China.
Urghers are central Asian minority within Chinese state boundaries – they are both Muslim and differing ethnicity to majority Han Chinese. There is long standing and considerable friction between the two – at both the political and ethnic level.
bloody fight?? they are better equiped with the help of the russian airforce.. why do you say that??
No matter how much better equipped are the Syrian & Russian & Iranian & Hezbollah Forces, some of those defending Idlib have nowhere to go except to finally meet with Allah. Amongst those who will fight to the death are quite a large force of remnants of the Uygur who were inserted into Syria through Turkey very early in the war and who were granted exclusive occupation of a Village/small Town that had been cleared of all Syrian Residents ……… all of whom lost their homes and livelihoods with many losing their lives. From memory, the numbers involved were 3,500 fighters and approximately 8,000 persons in total including wives and children of the Uygur fighters. Some of these Uygur are reported to be responsible for many atrocities.
All these foreign Isis terrorists must be eliminated in Syria,otherwise they will be used in Afghanistan, Yemen, Iraq,Iran, Russian territories, even China,so its all or nothing for the Zionist resistance.
Pushing west from Aleppo would be my first move, because the HTS are expecting from the south, but also because Aleppo is much too exposed, on it’s westside. An Aleppo build up gives the jihadists time to sweat and fall into fear, they know their days are done.
what about like a three pronged push simultaneously?
Good for them I hope they are successful in stomping out the western backed terrorists.
How is it Syria and it’s allies have waited almost six months to partially surround idlib? I say partially as they have yet to stop the terrorist from traveling to US illegal AL Tanf base which carved out 50 square miles and mined the perimeter. How is it they haven’t shown drone and other surveillance footage at the UNSC? With all the supposed satellites all movement withing Syria should be available in HD if not 4k showing all the illegal activity of the west?
Why would the UNSC use surveillance footage to prove anything when they’ve got the testimony of some random guy on the internet?
They have not waited. They have taken all in south apart from many sleeping cells as well as has given tryes for cleaning the eastern part south of Eufrat.
And SAA now are very low in military capasity. Above divisons are mentioned. Thats the smalles divisions inthe whole world.Of course it would be a joke telling to tanks are more the one unit, but they are very, very small.
You cant expect them for doing a better job. They are not better then that. If You add the losses they are enorme. Many, many are killed. Many many are not able to fight anymore and home and many of the rest are so tired, You hardly can believe that.
The same goes for the many helpers high as low. ´Very much is like tired boxers, which hardly can lift their arms – but its like that the other way around. Their enemies might lift their arms, but they dont hit as hard as they did.
Thats one of the good reasons for using random airstrikes and artillery in stead.
prayers for these brave men and women of SAA to achieve complete victory in idlib :))))
I keep say it, Hader in western Aleppo is going to be the major staging point into Idlib, it’s 60 km from there to the Turkish border, and Idlib is then cut in half. The 2 evacuated Shia enclaves that are already occupied by SAA/ Hezbollah and Iranian forces, are exactly half way between Hader and the Turkish border, so they already have a foot in the door already. A simultaneous three pronged attack, with a pincer movement from Latakia and Northern Hama to occupy the rebels there, but the main thrust will come from western Aleppo, and push west into Idlib, and then keep going until they hit the Turkish border. Once they divide to conquer, as they always have in every other successful campaign, they’ll concentrate on cleansing the southern half of Idlib first, which should be an easy 2 month operation. Though it definitely won’t be a cakewalk like Darra was, I still think there’ll be more bombs than bullets again, meaning the SAA and friends, will mainly be mopping up after a good Arial cleansing first. Unlike the initial push to divide the Governate, which though it’ll be very speedy by necessity, 2 or 3 weeks probably at most, it’ll involve lots of carnage on both sides with many civilians included in the stats, that’s if they haven’t moved out as the FSA recently directed them to do. Erdogan took a different approach and instead directed those same civilians, that are potentially in harms way, to actually remain in their homes to help deter the SAA from invading, very considerate fellow isn’t he. That’s what I see coming anyway, and I think the FSA rebels are beginning to suspect it too, going by everything they’ve said and done over the last 3 days. What happens after the south of Idlib falls is anybody’s guess, I have no idea what they’ll do first and not sure they even do yet either, maybe they’re working it out as they go, which I think is actually quite sensible considering the circumstances. Whatever happens the recent statement from China was very reassuring and also very emboldening for the SAA and Russia, they may need their help if the latest accusations by Russia, concerning the US, UK and French involvement in a plan to instigate a false flag CW attack in Idlib are correct, if that happens God knows what will happen.
I agree with everything you say about the battle-field layout. The only variable in all of this is what happens to Turkish Armed Forces inserted into Syria by Erdogan and what will Erdogan do? Whatever he does, he is going to have a major falling-out with either NATO & US or with Russia & Iran. What does a cornered rat normally do?