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In light of the recent statements by Taiwan’s president, it seems the government in Taipei finally came to its senses and is ready to negotiate.
Written by Drago Bosnic, independent geopolitical and military analyst
In recent years, relations between China and its breakaway island province of Taiwan have worsened significantly, but the previous months have led to an exponential escalation which could very likely get out of control. Since 2020, when the current president Tsai Ing-wen was elected for her second term, her harsh rhetoric and strengthening of military ties with the United States have been causing quite a lot of frustration in Beijing. For decades, the Asian giant has been trying to come to an agreement with the rebellious government in Taipei. The primary area of focus for China is economic cooperation with its breakaway island province, which has benefited Taiwan significantly, making it a crucial link between Western economies and China.
However, keeping the status quo doesn’t seem to be in the interest of the political elites in Washington DC. Apart from multiple high-profile visits to China’s breakaway island province, despite Beijing’s clear warnings this will be viewed as a hostile act, and military deals which directly threaten the Chinese military, the belligerent imperialist thalassocracy has also pledged to “defend Taiwan”. US President Joe Biden himself has stated this at least four times. Tensions reached a boiling point, in particular during US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s controversial visit to Taipei. At the time, virtually no voices of reason calling for peace could be heard, neither in the US nor in Taipei.
And yet, something seems to have changed in recent days. The President of Taiwan Tsai Ing-wen recently stated that she “rules out armed confrontation with China,” adding that the government in Taipei is “willing to engage with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to reach a mutually agreeable arrangement.” On Monday, October 10, during a national address, President Tsai Ing-wen clearly stated the following:
“I want to make clear to the Beijing authorities that armed confrontation is absolutely not an option for our two sides.”
“Only by respecting the commitment of the Taiwanese people to our sovereignty, democracy, and freedom can there be a foundation for resuming constructive interaction across the Taiwan Strait,” Tsai added.
The statement shows a rarely-seen display of (geo)political wisdom on the part of the government in Taipei and it largely falls in line with what China itself has been offering for years. It is absolutely in Beijing’s interest to resolve the Taiwan issue peacefully. Restoring China’s sovereignty in the area is the primary concern of the government in Beijing, but so is doing it in the most painless way possible. The Asian giant sees the people of Taiwan as its own citizens and wants no armed confrontation. However, the belligerent power on the other side of the Pacific has other plans.
By pushing Taipei into an armed conflict with Beijing, the US is trying to destabilize China and curb its unrivaled growth. The aforementioned controversial visit by US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in August triggered China’s response, which reacted by launching naval exercises around Taiwan. Western mainstream propaganda machine accused China of “aggressive behavior” and tried spinning the narrative by claiming that Beijing was conducting a naval blockade of its rebellious province. Still, it seems this show of force gave fruit after all, as the government in Taipei finally showed willingness to engage in “constructive dialogue.”
President Tsai said that Taiwan is willing to negotiate with China to “restore peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait,” but that it “must not compromise the freedom and democracy of the Taiwanese people.” The second part of the statement is clearly necessary to maintain the official political narrative. And yet, the call for peace might be indicative of a possible realpolitik approach which is desperately needed to avoid a direct military confrontation with a superpower such as China. Although Tsai also talked about “bolstering Taiwan’s military potential”, it’s quite clear that this would certainly not change the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait.
China’s military dominance in the area is virtually undisputed. With the world’s third-largest air force and one of the largest and most powerful navies on the planet, Beijing’s chances to succeed in overcoming the military forces of Taiwan are nearly guaranteed. In addition, China operates a plethora of ballistic, cruise and hypersonic missiles which could devastate the air and missile defenses in Taiwan from afar, while destroying most of its air force before it even had the chance to take off. This alone, coupled with an actual naval blockade, might as well bring down the government in Taipei and force the breakaway island province to accept a peace deal preferable to China.
The US and other Western powers and satellite states would be unable to react, unless they wanted a direct confrontation with nuclear-armed China. Even in the case that the government in Taipei decided to continue the fight, Beijing could send its troops directly to the island and take control of it by force. Although such amphibious operations are usually the most difficult and dangerous a military could conduct, China surely has the capacity to do it.
And yet, this is precisely what Beijing is trying to avoid, as the resulting devastation could cause tens of thousands of casualties and inflict massive economic damage. In light of the recent statements by Taiwan’s president, it seems the government in Taipei finally came to the same conclusion and is ready to negotiate. Hopefully, it will stay that way, so that another US-orchestrated tragic conflict could be avoided.
Someone must have explained to her what an enhanced EMP is and how a couple of them can fry all of Taiwans electrical infrastructure and make an effective defense against a Chinese invasion all but impossible.
No need to explain sh1t to the vassal bitch.
Your a salty one. If only the world was a perfect place, it would be heaven on earth.
Or maybe she just want to buy time, like Ukraina/Nato did for decades.
Now China have missiles advantage, after some years Taiwan will have the same advantage.
I dont think things will get better with time. Have it ever been? The reason have to be that the amount of propoganda in news, movies, books, educations system. Generations after generations are born with misinformation and propoganda. Even if someone thinks differently they will change their hearts quickly once they recieve the money. Lets not forget Taiwanese are Chinese people, Chinese love money.
By the way do anyone know why southfront is removing my comments on many articles?
But emp’s wont work on CCP Chiner?
China is not interested in taking over Taiwan. Taiwan is not interested in conflict. Soon China will be very rich and with state controlled capitalism will be very attractive to Taiwan – they will happily join with mainland to pursue even better future when the time come. They are the winners. Patient and peaceful winners. Wish Russia was like that… today only Poland can provide leadership to Slavic World…
That’s not the point. If the evil us empire did not meddle with Taiwan, China would leave that island alone until Taiwanese feel they should rejoin the mainland. The us always consider China an enemy and a threat. Why should China let them build their military bases near China, especially on the historical island that has long been a part of China.
Too late. Washington will asset strip Taiwan, and then start the war. Tsai made it inevitable.
Taiwan became an independent nation after ww2. To think of it as ‘rebellious’ is delusional on the part of the mainland. F the CCP.
Yeah, I cannot stand Commies either and I do not like how they betrayed Russia but Communism can be destroyed peacefully by a free world not by warmongering banksters who enslaved then bankcrupt their own world.
Nice try “Vlad”. Behind the Russian SMO, is China. Two freight trains leave China to Russia every day. Guess what’s in them? China’s also bankrolling this war, by continuing to mop up Russia’s exports that would have went to the EU. Same with India to a lesser extent.
I agree! And since, they have done well to maintain their independence.
The only reason the U.S. goverment excepted the on China policy was as part of a larger agreement to help keep the peace. Apart of that deal was the west industrialization of CCP Chiner.
Times have changed, the CCP have militarized and began embarking on a expansionist policy. The writing is on the wall.
The CCP is the ones who broke contract not us.
As for those of you who think where going to sit back and take it. Well I guess we’ll have to see.
What contract and who are you? You vile collective westerner never kept your word. Your country is an empire of lies. You have twisted the truth on everything like it’s something you hate the most in your life. The rest of the world isn’t blind. We take the words from a crack whore over yours any day. You deceitful POS. If you want to start a world war, go for it while you still can.
Crack whore you say! Well I take it you have experience with that so ill leave you to it!
I think someone needs to not read into what she said so much. It could be taken many ways and this is reaching like hell. Yes what leader will say war is the answer! Taiwan will continue to build its military and look for allies … that does not mean they want a fight nor to be subjugated to the CCP…
Shes being diplomatic, as should be. At no point did she ever state or seem to be tow towing to CCPs Chiner.
China mitigates for rebellious districts inland: Tibet, Inner-Mongolia, Xinjiang and Hong-Kong. Letting Taiwan loose is a precident.
Maybe it is. It depends on what her Puppeteer wants. If Uncle Sam wants a war with China, there’s no chance for Taiwan to avoid it, just like it happened in Serbia, Libya, Syria and ukraine.
Taiwan can go Belaruss or Ukraine, they choose…
But, by the “our democracy” we know what’s going on in Taiwan, China got to step in quickly.
What she said doesn’t mean anything but what was said before…
Congrats to the author for making a huge nothing article….
UH OH the USA has SCREWED us DIMWITTED FUCKWADS into almost starting a fight with China is what Taiwan has SUDDENLY REALIZED.
If i was China i would still invade and yes while amphibious assaults come with risk, i would wipe out their Anti-air sites with Hypersonics missiles thus giving China control over the skies 100% and then airborne assault on nearest port that could support naval transfer of land forces, airborne assaults are a lot less dangerous nowadays as they will capture those ports very easily.
And if those dumb fuck head USA try and send ships SINK THE FUCKERS NO WARNINGS. =Z=
Those short-dicked chinks depend entirely on americuckwa and Europe to run their high-tech industries (machine tools come from the West) and their economic prowess is only due to them being hitched to the amerikwan bandwagon.
The moment war breaks out, all ties will be snapped and overnight, chingchangchongland would see a huge shrinkage of it’s economy which wouldn’t recover for decades.
Is she seriously flashing a “666” in the main picture…..
Is it just me, or was she sending “that” hand signal?
The Chinese aren’t slouches. They are humble, and mostly quiet. Almost too quiet. They have backup plans for backup plans. They will execute the destruction of Taiwan’s military and government very precisely. If the US Navy comes, they’ll risk losing a naval battle with China and instantly the US Empire would collapse.
Tsailenski has no choice first Taiwan chip industry may run out of special sand for make wafer for microchip because China stop exports to Taiwan that will destroys chip industry of Taiwan ,second when Tsailenski see how catastrophic destruction war that happen to Ukraine was destroys and Ukraine peoples suffer,and wake up from idiots thinking of her own ego to confront with giant China and want to be Tsailenski of Asia.
Defense minister Chiu Kuo-cheng announced on the contrary, that infringements of Taiwan’s airspace by mainland Chinese airplanes/drones would be considered a “first strike” and that this may result in shooting down those flying objects. Doesn’t sound like de-escalation, although he also said the military would be very careful as nobody wanted a war.
Tsailenski is the boss of Chiu 😆😆😆 lol
I wonder if President Tsai knows that as soon as she goes along with the US orders, Taipei could look much like Ukraine. Should she go along with washingtub’s orders but then ‘renegotiate’ with China, Taipei could look much like Ukraine.
Best not let these animals into the house else they will use your bed as a toilet.
We all know what is to be done in case of war in Asia ; if you want an unconditional surrender , you must nuke Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It worked just fine last time !
:)
For the sake of peace and stability for the Chinese people on both sides, China and the island should have a peaceful reunification , one country two systems. The CCP controls the island and the Taiwanese stop being exploited by the west to buy arms and be cannon fodder in case of a war.
While she might think U.S. politicians care about Taiwan and Taiwanese people, the reality is USA needs their microchips and technology, not only for their products, even for their military arms, as well as a geopolitical ally to try to destroy the rest of China from within, if not, they wouldn’t even know where Taiwan is.
So, if the U.S. government thinks a war it’s the only way they can succeed, sorry for you and not learning history, Taiwanese leader, they’ll use you and they’ll push you into a war. Same way they keep pushing the war against Russia by even making terrorists attacks on the pipelines that their European colonies already said it’s impossible that U.S. army did that, while their countries buy more energy from the U.S, now.
Ukraine bought 8yrs of time to prepare war wirh USNato by pretending to accept Ru Minsk agreement. Perhaps Taiwan Tsai is taking order from her ZUS master to buy time, as US can’t afford to face two proxy war fronts with Ru & China concurrently.
Instructions from Brandon, getting even more cutarse on other side of world same time as Ukraine wouldn’t be too kosher, at this point