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While the legacy media feeds the public pablum about “unwavering support,” real politics is being forged behind closed doors. The first week of December 2025 drew a line under the old world order: Vladimir Zelensky finds himself in a unique historical trap. His “enemy” (Russia) and his chief “sponsor” (the US) are paradoxically offering him his only chance at survival, while his “best friends” (the Europeans) are pushing him toward the scaffold.
Three Forces, One Victim
By December 2025, the geopolitical deck in the West has been reshuffled into a brutally simple configuration. Three distinct forces are now in play. First, Team Trump — bulldozer pragmatists for whom Ukraine is just a toxic asset to be written off or restructured. Second, the Euro-bureaucracy and London — Zelensky’s handlers, for whom keeping the war going is a matter of sheer political survival. And third, the “separatists” inside the US establishment, trying to sabotage the White House while rapidly bleeding out their remaining influence.
The main takeaway from the last two weeks is blunt: Trump has stopped pretending to do diplomacy with Europe and has started dismantling the “Anti-Russia” project directly, right over Brussels’ head.
Act 1. The “Geneva Flogging” and the Broken Pen
Date: November 23, 2025
Location: Geneva, Switzerland
Delegations of the US and Ukraine at the talks in Geneva
It starts here. The US, acting through Trump’s proxies — Special Envoy for Ukraine Keith Kellogg and National Security Advisor Mike Waltz — summons the head of the Ukrainian President’s Office, Andriy Yermak, and Defense Minister Rustem Umerov.
Instead of the usual warm words about friendship, the Ukrainian delegation is hit with a hard ultimatum. The Americans slam a plan on the table: freeze the conflict along the current front line (de facto acknowledging Kiev’s territorial losses) and accept a categorical “no” on NATO membership. Bargaining is not on the menu. The pressure on the Ukrainian side hits the red zone: when Umerov, in a fit of impotent fury, snaps his pen on the negotiating table, it becomes the perfect symbol of crushed Ukrainian ambitions. Kiev is given a simple binary: take the deal, or the money stops — immediately.
Act 2. The Kremlin Night Shift
Date: Night of December 2–3, 2025
Location: Moscow, the Kremlin, negotiation hall of the Senate Palace
Closed-door talks in Moscow in a “three-on-two” format: on the US side — special envoy Steve Witkoff and investor Jared Kushner; on the Russian side — President Vladimir Putin, his aide Yuri Ushakov, and Russian Direct Investment Fund head Kirill Dmitriev
While Kiev is still reeling from the Geneva ultimatum, Team Trump pulls off a much bigger move. Trump’s envoys — his close friend Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner — fly into Moscow.
The meeting starts in the evening and runs well past midnight, wrapping only in the early hours of December 3rd. Five hours of pure detail work.
- The Gist. The Americans bring Vladimir Putin a 28-point plan, broken into four packages.
- The Reaction. In an interview, Putin calls the talk “very useful” and long — they went through every point line by line. Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov describes the tone as “constructively friendly,” but makes clear Moscow hasn’t signed off on everything and is waiting for Washington’s response to its countered edits.
The most important part, as usual, never makes it into the official readouts. Judging by Putin’s confident talk of the “inevitable liberation of Novorossiya” and the relaxed demeanor of his American counterparts, the core geopolitical trade seems to have been sealed that night. Trump effectively hands Moscow carte blanche on the Dnieper. The American realists understand: holding the Left Bank is no longer in the cards, so they’re ready to look the other way as Russian forces push up to the natural river boundary — in exchange for ending the hot phase that’s now just a domestic political headache for the US. For Trump, this isn’t “losing territory,” it’s dumping dead weight.
The contrast is politically lethal for Kiev: Ukrainian officials are summoned to a Geneva to be handed ultimatums, while Trump’s trusted men fly into the Kremlin for a long, respectful, all-night negotiation with Putin.
Act 3. Carpet Call in Florida
Date: December 4–5, 2025
Location: a secured site in Florida’s Miami area
Steve Witkoff, Marco Rubio and Jared Kushner during a meeting with the Ukrainian delegation in Florida
The final chord. The Ukrainian delegation — largely the same faces from Geneva — is summoned to Trump’s Florida compound for what is, in essence, a last warning.
Trump offers Zelensky a classic New York real-estate style deal: cash out and walk away.
- Zelensky accepts the freeze and resigns.
- In return, he gets personal security guarantees for himself and his family, keeps his money, and gets to live quietly in the West (most likely in the UK or US).
- Power in Kiev passes to a more “deal-friendly” figure who can front elections and formalize the new status quo.
It’s a golden parachute — a narrow, but very real, chance to survive. Senator Marco Rubio, speaking for the Trump camp, is already publicly talking about “progress” in the talks — which, in diplomatic language, means Kiev is being pushed into position.
The Brussels Collar and the Revolt of the Bankrupts
The problem is: Zelensky isn’t a free actor. His “masters” — the British and the Euro-bureaucracy — will not let him touch that lifeline.
For London and Brussels, ending the war on Trump’s terms is politically suicidal. It would blow up their financial stakes, expose the rot of their own Ukraine schemes, and likely end the careers of people like Ursula von der Leyen.
So, Europe keeps its puppet on a short leash, forbidding him from accepting Trump’s guarantees. At the same time, the puppeteers themselves are broke and losing control:
- Belgium has blocked the attempt to loot Russian assets through Euroclear, afraid of detonating its own financial system.
- Hungary has vetoed the €90-billion war loan.
- Germany and the Netherlands refuse to take on joint EU debt, and Italy is quietly undermining arms-purchase schemes.
Euro-officials still demand “war to the bitter end” from Zelensky — but they no longer have the means to pay for it.
Finale: The Suitcase With No Handle — and Rats in a Corner
By early December 2025, the fork in the road is behind us. Trump has, in practice, accepted the partition of Ukraine along the Dnieper as inevitable; the only question now is how to market this defeat at home as “peace through strength.”
For Washington’s pragmatists, Zelensky has become a suitcase with no handle: Trump wants to drop him to clear the way for a grand bargain with Moscow, while Europe keeps forcing him to drag this dead weight. The EU leadership looks like a pack of cornered rats. Brussels knows that once Zelensky grabs Trump’s golden parachute and steps down, opening the road to partition, Euro-bureaucrats will be left alone with furious voters and a very real Russia across the table. Their last move is to sabotage a US-Russia deal at any cost, selling Kiev fantasies about “100-year partnerships” and imaginary troops on the line of contact.
Trump sees the game and raises the price: any attempt to derail his fix with Putin risks tariff hikes of 15–30 percent and new sanctions, while frozen Russian assets are earmarked for US-driven investment schemes, not for keeping a collapsing regime in Kiev on life support. By December 6, 2025, the picture is as cynical as it gets: Trump and Putin are offering Zelensky life and oblivion — exile and de facto immunity — while his European “friends” demand political and then physical suicide to save the Euro-bureaucracy’s face. Either Kiev accepts partition, or it goes all-in under London’s guidance — and in that scenario, Ukraine risks losing not just the Left Bank, but its statehood entirely.
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