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NOVEMBER 2024

Turkey Retracts Its Statement Threatening To Relaunch Military Op In Northern Syria

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Turkey Retracts Its Statement Threatening To Relaunch Military Op In Northern Syria

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Turkey’s claim that Russia is failing to comply with the safe-zone agreement demands and threats to resume a military operation in northeastern Syria were a ‘misunderstanding’, Ankara says.

On November 20, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov revealed Turkey informed Russia’s ambassador in Ankara that there was no talk of a resumption of Turkey’s Operation Peace Spring.

Lavrov said that the withdrawal of the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) has been “practically completed,” adding: “There are maybe some individual areas where this matter still needs to be finished.”

Lavrov recalled that the YPG must engage in direct dialogue with the Assad government in order to settle the conflict via political means and further.

The Turksih claim that the statements by Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu and other officials were just a kind of misunderstanding doesn’t hold up against criticism.

“If we do not obtain a result, we will do what is necessary, just as we launched the operation after trying with the U.S.,” Cavusoglu stated on November 18 after accusing Washington and Moscow of failing to comply with their responsibilities in the framework of the de-escalation agreements. This does not look like a ‘mistake’.

Most likely, the real reason why Ankara withdrew its threats is that Cavusoglu’s remarks have revealed the real Turkish stance on Kurdish issues and northern Syria too early. Thus, Anakra revealed its real policy towards the region in the situation when Russia stil had a freedom of freedom of maneuver.. So, it had to rush to retract the statement. However, this does not mean that the Turksih policy has somehow changed.

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gustavo

Turkey thinks that Russia will continue supporting any action Turkey want to make on Syria,…..and it looks like but not very.

S Melanson

And what is the real policy the article alludes to? This article puts out conjecture much like a previous article about Syrian death trap for Russia and Turkish sinister intent. These are psyop hit pieces and not very good ones I would add.

I suggest better journalistic standards to ensure authors back up what they say with credible evidence and persuasive arguments. This article insults our intelligence.

Pave Way IV

The Turkish head-chopper operation was marginally successful at best. It probably doesn’t matter any more. The real objective was to prevent armed opposition to Turkey’s re-Arabization of the border strip with refugees. Once the busses start arriving with those four million refugees, it’s over for Kurdish access to/from Turkey or control of the Syrian border. The refugees and new towns will be administered/secured by Turkey like they did in Afrin – PYD an other US stooge parties not invited. In five years or so, Turkey will have recruited plenty of intelligence assets, developed their own refugee-strip anti-Kurd Stazi security forces and groomed pro-Turk refugee ‘leaders’ to take over.

So what Erdogan did was essentially steal the US Rojava Independence/Border Security Forces plan for soft occupation of Syria and replaced Kurds with pro-Turk Arab refugees. Oh, and plenty of Turkish-supported al Qaeda/ISIS sleeper cells for ‘reminder’ slaughters in case Assad brings up that anti-Turkish ‘Syrian Sovereignty’ trope.

I can’t wait until this scheme bites Smeagol in the ass, but it might take years. [sigh…]

S Melanson

I like your analysis.

Willing Conscience (The Truths

What is going on, are we being told the truth 2 days running, OMG, something must’ve happened to disrupt the Turkish/Russian partnership, something that’s angered Putin no end, and it’s something he doesn’t want to hide from anyone, perhaps Russian spies have found out something new that they didn’t know before, LOL.

“Most likely, the real reason why Ankara withdrew its threats is that Cavusoglu’s remarks have revealed the real Turkish stance on Kurdish issues and northern Syria too early. Thus, Anakra revealed its real policy towards the region in the situation when Russia stil had a freedom of freedom of maneuver.. So, it had to rush to retract the statement. However, this does not mean that the Turksih policy has somehow changed”.

And this is my translation of the article above,

The real reason why Ankara withdrew its threats is that Cavusoglu’s remarks revealed the real Turkish stance on Kurdish issues and northern Syria are not in accordance with the Memorandum of Understanding between Russia and Turkey, and are in fact in direct conflict with the agreed stipulations. But now the Russians are aware that the Turks are going to backstab them when it suits them, the Russians are going to do something to stop them pulling a swifty, and they’re doing it because the dumb Turkish government let the cat slip out of the bag too early, which now gives the Russians an opportunity to pull the rug out from under the Turks first, despite the fact the Turks are now saying, “no you’ve got it all wrong, you misunderstood our real intentions, we will keep to the agreement we promise”, and the Russians are saying, “sure you will, and we still believe every word you say, you lying co-kheads, as if we’ll ever believe another word you say”. LOL, so the fruit is rotting while it’s still on the tree, LOL LOL LOL.

LOL, great partnership and alliance hey, but maybe not for much longer. If Erdogan loses the Russians assistance, all he’ll have left are the Qataris, the moderate opposition in Syria [the NFL/SLF/SNA/FSA], the foreign Jihadists in Syria, and the Iraqi/Kurdish KRG Peshmerga, they’ll be the only ones supporting his efforts once he loses the Russians support, or I should say if he loses Russian support. The Russians are finding out the hard way that Erdogan may not be exactly the saviour they were hoping for, and perhaps even viewing him more like the antiChrist now, if Erdogan decided to switch back to the US side with his new S-400’s in tow, and any other revealing info he may of garnished from the Russians, it would totally devastate Russian interests not just here in Syria, but in the whole region, and possibly their own economy as well. Putin’s been very clever over the last 3 or 4 years, he’s astutely linked the Turkish and Russian economies in numerous ways making them mutually dependent on each other, helping both countries not only weather US sanctions imposed upon both countries, but also by supplying each other with things one country has a lot of or can produce easily, thereby supplementing the weaknesses of each of their economies/industry with the strengths of the other countries. Tourism, agriculture, services, and industry have all benefited on both sides making both countries economies more resilient and stronger, but there is one drawback for Russia, and if the Turks pull a swifty and switch back to the US side, that drawback will become apparent. Many Turkish military and high tech requirements were filled by the Russian military and high technology sectors, some private industries were given huge incentives to manufacture certain high tech goods for the Turkish market, and because of those incentives and the US sanctions, a lot of Russian business started up or expanded existing operations to meet the new requirements. And it worked out splendidly for both Turkey and Russia and still is, but it only works well when Russia and Turkey have good relations, when they don’t it leaves a big hole in Russia’s economy, but not in Turkey’s. If the Turks ever switch sides and get relief from the sanctions, they’ll most likely also resume buying high tech sensitive goods from the US and the EU again, and stop buying them from Russia due to NATO security concerns, and guess what that means for the Russian businesses that have either become reliant or totally dependent on that Turkish trade, poof, it vanishes. Now the high cost of starting up some of these industries is only worthwhile in a long term arrangement, something that lasts 10, 20, 30 years, but some of Russia’s new high tech industry has only been up and running a few years and haven’t even had a chance to pay for themselves yet. So this scenario would mean the collapse or downsizing of all those hi tech industries that have either become reliant or dependent on Turkish trade, unemployment for all the highly skilled worker who’d find themselves unemployed, but also a loss for all the Russian investors who’ll probably never make their money back. And the Russian government would also be a big loser, they gave out huge tax incentives to get many of those businesses up and running, they might end up thinking their tax revenue could’ve been spent better elsewhere. I know I’m a doomsday predictor but I can’t help myself, too many things can go wrong if the Turks switch sides, Putin’s left Russia vulnerable to a madman’s unpredictable actions. Erdogan is now making a backtrack in rhetoric to placate Putin’s anger, but does he really mean it, probably not, he’s an opportunist, if he sees a chance to get what he wants he’ll take it, so nothing’s guaranteed when you have a deal with Erdogan. Good luck Russia, I hope you can clean up this mess your leader Putin made for you, his love affair with Erdogan and his dream of splitting Turkey away from NATO is looking more and more like a nightmare lately, hopefully some smart men in the Russian government [like Lavrov] can somehow salvage what’s looking like a possible catastrophe for both Russia and Syria, into a winning situation for everyone, Turkey included, just so long as Erdogan’s in jail and out of the way that is, or an asylum where he more rightly belongs.

Jaime

Russia has always had first class intelligence, so I don’t think they haven’t been able to see through the Turkish lies. I understand the S-400 are not operational yet, and Russia should drag its feet until Turkey starts behaving. Turkey is like a stubborn donkey. It needs to be flogged now and then, better now than then.

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