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Written by Prof Michel Chossudovsky
In the course of the last 11 months, I have been reviewing on a daily basis numerous carefully documented articles on the unfolding war in Ukraine,
The evolving consensus — after eleven months which emanates from the senior ranks of the US military and intelligence establishment — is that Ukraine “has lost the war”.
What strikes me in this ingenuous assessment is something which should have been obvious to analysts from the very outset of Russia’s “Special Operation”.
Ukraine Had Lost the War Before it Even Started
I will start with the obvious, much of which has been confirmed by official sources and analysis.
From Day One, Russia was involved as part of it’s “Special Operation” in “precision” attacks against Ukrainian military installations, which commenced hours prior to President Putin’s February 24, TV address:
“I am referring to the eastward expansion of NATO, which is moving its military infrastructure ever closer to the Russian border. It is a fact that over the past thirty years we have been patiently trying to come to an agreement with the leading NATO countries …In response, we invariably faced either cynical deception and lies or attempts at pressure and blackmail.”
From one week to the next, Ukraine was without a Navy and without an Air Force, destroyed at the outset in late February, early March 2022.
Part II of this article focusses in detail on another obvious concept, which has not been the object of media coverage or even analysis by the independent media:
Turkey, NATO’s heavyweight is “Sleeping with the Enemy”. It has a military cooperation agreement with Russia
What this means is that under present conditions a US-NATO war against Russia is an impossibility.
The Black Sea is strategic. While the Ukraine coastline is in large part controlled by Russia, Turkey controls the entire Southern coastline of the Black Sea as well as access to the Mediterranean. (under the Montreux protocol) (see map below)
Turkey is playing a double game, it is not acting on behalf of NATO in the war theater. It is “unofficially” collaborating with Russia. The March 2022 failed peace agreements in Istanbul were hosted by the Erdogan government.
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The Obvious: How Could Ukraine Win a War without an Air Force and a Navy?
According to Russian Sources quoted by B. K, Bhadrakumar (March 25, 2022):
The Russian General Staff disclosed that Ukrainian air force and air defence is almost completely destroyed [March 2022], while the country’s Navy no longer exists and about 11.5% of the entire military personnel have been put out of action.
[Quoting Russian sources] Ukraine has lost much of its combat vehicles (tanks, armoured vehicles, etc.), one-third of its multiple launch rocket systems, and well over three-fourths of its missile air defence systems and Tochka-U tactical missile systems.
Sixteen main military airfields in Ukraine have been put out of action, 39 storage bases and arsenals destroyed (which contained up to 70% of all stocks of military equipment, materiel and fuel, and more than 1 million 54000 tons of ammunition.)
Ukraine had not only lost its naval power in the Black Sea, it had also lost its maritime access to the Sea of Azov and Eastern Ukraine.
That happened in February-March of last year.
The Kerch strait in Eastern Crimea is controlled by Russia. It constitutes a narrow maritime gateway which links the Black Sea to the Sea of Azov.
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All major ports on the Sea of Azov are currently under Russian control.
The Dnieper Seaway
The Delta of Ukraine’s major river-way the Dnieper is controlled by Russia, despite Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson.
The Dnieper is a strategic seaway extending from Belarus, Northern Ukraine and Kiev down to the Black Sea.
The Dnieper is a major corridor for Ukraine grain cargo transportation and maritime commodity trade out of the Black Sea, which is controlled by Russia in collaboration with Turkey.
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Michel Chossudovsky is an award-winning author, Professor of Economics (emeritus) at the University of Ottawa, Founder and Director of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG), Montreal, Editor of Global Research. He has taught as visiting professor in Western Europe, Southeast Asia, the Pacific and Latin America. He has served as economic adviser to governments of developing countries and has acted as a consultant for several international organizations. He is the author of eleven books including The Globalization of Poverty and The New World Order (2003), America’s “War on Terrorism” (2005), The Global Economic Crisis, The Great Depression of the Twenty-first Century (2009) (Editor), Towards a World War III Scenario: The Dangers of Nuclear War (2011), The Globalization of War, America’s Long War against Humanity (2015). He is a contributor to the Encyclopaedia Britannica. His writings have been published in more than twenty languages. In 2014, he was awarded the Gold Medal for Merit of the Republic of Serbia for his writings on NATO’s war of aggression against Yugoslavia. He can be reached at crgeditor@yahoo.com
Yes, jews are losers by definition, kikeraeli, brit-am, azov, and soviet jews.
Israelis and Brit-am are ok. Azov and Soviet are bad in my opinion.
Now macron talk about sending warplanes to the ukraine. It’s impossible to a ukrainian pilot to learn how to use a french warplane in a month. It means they will send french pilots. But to hide it, the kiev regime will give them fake ukrainian identities. That lie is not promoted to hurt Russia, the russian mod knows it, its promoted to hurt french people, ti deveive them and bring them to war.
https://rumble.com/vwxxi8-ukraine-on-fire.html
Just another nonsense article.
Every existence of Ukrainian statehood is already a loss for Russia, which is the case, at least for now.
Kremlin still hesitates to destroy Kiev and shows weakness after weakness
Short and well written article. I add: the blasphemous and arrogant forces of evil are in final existential CRISIS: little money, little armaments, soldiers who do not want to die for cocacola and cocaine and for a society of insecurities, injustices, invasions from the third world, degeneracy, poverty, etc. etc. . The American dream of conquering the world ends quickly. Wishing you a bad ending.
Cocaine?! That is for the filthy rich! Paupers going to die are bound to Coke (without cocaine!), more sugar and glue to inhale.
Yes, it is true! The American Dream has proven to be a total failure. The masters of America are not good at it, they are very incompetent.
So-called “Ukraine” is irrelevant, this is NATO vs Russia war, and NATO certainly did not lose.
Just look at your map: a huge river (Dnieper) splitting the county in half…
Defining geographical definition of Ukraine…. more strategically important than Mississippi in ACW, and CSA lost because they lost Mississippi. If only Russian generals were not total fools, the war could be won by now 10 times over: one pincer from Kharkov to Dniepro, one from the south via Zaporozhie, encircle vast majority of Ukrat forces in Donbass. Then move north along the river, eventually with another attack from Chernigov. No rush to Kiev or whatever idiotic nonsense. Deblocked Donetsk, liberate Donbas, take entire Eastern ukraine, then just entrench on the east coast, or eventually move to Odessa if possible.
Instead after 12 months of war Donetsk is still in Ukrat range and NATO increase their supply to insane levels. SO who lost the war even before it started?
But if it was won already then you wouldn’t have Russophobic Nazis coming from all around the world to die in their thousands. If anyone was to go round Europe or the US killing them off they would get in trouble, but here it’s fine. It makes sense from a pest control perspective, patiently sitting on the side and waiting for the pests to come out rather than frightening them all back into their holes. There is a bright side in that respect.
Without support parsitic actions of the puppets of banker mafia the Kiev regime would have collapsed both financially (bankruptcy) and militarily roughly 4-6 months into the special operation.
Instead, the EU and US citizens and economies is bled to death. Tens of thousands mercs being paid their fiat currency to fight for these corrupt fascist bastards because a sizeable portion of the Ukrop army is dead (~190k) or disabled. All this so that some neocons can escalate. This can result in only one thing, and it isn’t good.
Who is to say that won’t happen when the time is right.
Such big arrow offensives are risky unless you dramatically outnumber and outgun the enemy. You can get in big trouble encircling more than you can digest.
I think Russian command did right in their assessment and decision to keep grinding down until the Orkrainians are sufficiently worn down. When the time is right big arrow moves will come.
Until then build strong defensive lines, build experienced troops, modernize stockpiles of tanks to make new armor divisions, and keep grinding down until you have numerical equivalent superiority.
RU has thousands of T-55 tanks which can be modernized to BMPT style or ATGM carrier, other support role including decoy. Modernize just 1000 of them and use the old 100mm turrets on portions of bunkers and trench fortification all over the southern fortification line and important Dniper locations.
“Insane levels”? The entire US puppet bloc fails to match the Russian artillery, and after a year are coming up with one hundred “base model” tanks. The only US gambit was to induce an internal Russian collapse and it didn’t happen. There is no outcome at this point in which Russia loses. Your table-top gamer scenarios, fun that they are, in no way reflect the reality of the situation in terms of tenable goals for Russia, goals for the US, technological limitations, political limitations, etc. Glory to those who dwell in their mother’s basements!
The Russians are in no hurry. Ukraine is already in the bag. But it doesn’t pay to end the war before the land has been demilitarized and before NATO is pushed over the fiscal cliff. As long as they’re not on their knees, they’ll never want to negotiate.
Keep in mind that they started out with limited number of troops, because they had no other choice at the time. That is being rectified now. And even still, the push to Kiev was neither naive nor in vain. It drew a lot of Ukrainian forces away from the Donbass for the critical first few weeks. And it was used to raid the biolabs financed by the US DoD, in which some ungodly things were happening (acknowledged by none other than Victoria Nuland).
I agree and will add :Nato wants from Turkey to limit Russian influence in the Black Sea by Turkish war ships and planes , but Erdogan said ‘no’ . After Erdogan’s No answer Biden did not invite Erdoğan for consultations in NATO talks in the Far East last month. When Biden makes consulations between France and Germany (Macron and Sholz ) they are not invating Erdogan. America is fed up with Erdogan because of his veto on Sweden and Israel joining NATO.
I were the only one on this planet who figured that out years ago and I was right.
The rest of the world, the 7999999999 sheeple, believed until today that Ukraine could win over Russia. They believed it and they hoped it……………………………….LOL.
Then, surprise surprise surprise, they went from being believers to being today sceptical and doubters.
Turkey seems to indeed be an important piece in this game. The Russians must have known it all along, because they had spent the entire decade turning Erdogan. They’ve turned a blind eye on the downing of two of their fighters by the Turks and on the assasination of the Russian ambassador to Istanbul. They even literally saved Erdogan’s life during the botched coup in 2016.
But they better be careful with him, because he’s a shifty guy and would like to become a major player in the region.