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Written by Ahmed Adel, Cairo-based geopolitics and political economy researcher
The military conflict in Ukraine could last another six or seven years, and due to this, Kiev’s allies need to plan their financial support for that period, Bloomberg reported. The report omits that the war is currently being fought on Moscow’s terms and will end only when Russian President Vladimir Putin gives the order, which will likely be much sooner than the six or seven years estimated.
“A senior official from one European G-7 country said the war may last as much as six or seven more years and that allies need to plan financially to continue support for Kyiv for such a long conflict. That’s much longer than many officials had expected earlier this year, but slow progress in Ukraine’s counteroffensive in recent months has tempered expectations,” Bloomberg reported.
On September 18, representatives of the G-7 countries discussed the situation at a dinner on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, agreeing that the conflict is likely to last “in the medium or long term,” a senior US State Department official said.
According to Bloomberg’s source, Ukraine will face various problems due to insufficient arms supplies from the West and increasing human losses.
Nonetheless, US President Biden reiterated on September 19 his commitment to Ukraine in his address to the General Assembly.
“We have to stand up to this naked aggression today and deter other would-be aggressors tomorrow,” Biden said, adding that the US and its allies and partners “will continue to stand with the brave people of Ukraine as they defend their sovereignty and territorial integrity and their freedom.”
Biden is also seeking from Congress $24 billion to continue supporting Ukraine for the fiscal year starting October 1, but prolonged spending is facing growing opposition.
In one of many examples, Republican representative Byron Donalds, when commenting on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to Washington, highlighted that: “There’s no money in the House right now for Ukraine … It’s not a good time for him to be here, quite frankly.”
Donalds also pointed to the US budget deficit of about $2 trillion and accused President Joe Biden of fuelling the conflict in Ukraine. It must be remembered that the US has already spent over $100 billion on lethal and non-lethal aid for Ukraine.
The Bloomberg articles pointed out that the EU over the summer announced an additional €50 billion support package for Ukraine to be delivered through 2027, which doubles total EU commitments, with Germany, Ukraine’s second-biggest supporter after the US, pledging €5 billion annually through that period.
For his part, Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that the West does not have the strength to continue supporting Ukraine. Kiev’s allies insist that for a ceasefire to be maintained, at a minimum, Russia must withdraw its military from all territories controlled since February 2022. Without this condition being met, Ukraine and Western countries continue to oppose the talks, an unnamed senior US official said.
At the 15th anniversary meeting of the Contact Group for the Defense of Ukraine, held this week at the US air base in Ramstein, Germany, the Pentagon announced the imminent arrival of American Abrams main battle tanks at the facilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, urging their colleagues to increase the supply of air defence systems to Ukraine. However, there are warnings that countries that invest more resources in Ukraine will soon lose patience if Kiev does not show serious intentions to combat corruption within the State.
“Many countries are sending major resources to Ukraine, and rightly so, but governments and populations will soon lose patience for that if there are no signs that the government is serious about fighting corruption,” said one Western diplomat in Kiev, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.
Given the fact that there are major pushback and financing issues, it is highly unlikely that the war in Ukraine will continue for another six to seven years, as G7 claims. The West cannot sustain this support over a long period of time, especially as elections loom in key countries like the US and Poland. Moscow fully understands this reality and is biding its time until it feels fully prepared to go on the offensive and achieve all its goals. Ukrainian forces have already been effectively neutralised, with the country’s army suffering over 75,000 deaths since the failed counteroffensive began in June, meaning there is not much Ukraine will be able to do once Russia decides to go on the offensive.
taking money from christian taxpayers for buying weapons (of course putting half of it in your own jewish pockets). then making the christians kill each other en millions with these weapons. that’s the situation we have with usa, eu, ru and ukr.
it’s not just money: nato had to scrape the bottom of the barrel to come up with this year’s package. a package that zalushny had promised was all he needed to win the war….
usa hat alles getan um der eu und den bürgern nachhaltig zu schaden
vice versa hat russland alle ursache der angloamerikanischen feindseligkeit.entgegenzutreten
surprised bidens son didn’t stuff a bag of cocaine in his pocket before the meeting, trudeaus fake eyebrows fell off and macron wasn’t partially molested by newly arrived shirtless african migrants.
if joe biden even suspects that trump will win the election, he’ll arm ukraine to the teeth before leaving office – including with very long-range systems to complicate any future plans by trump to force a ceasefire on ukraine. $100 billion a year is pocket change for america (which just prints the dollars anyway). america can sustain this funding for 10 years if doing so makes russia bleed in ukraine.
i guess russia is in for much more than it bargained for.
putin cannot simply order russian troops to withdraw from ukraine. the russians have paid too high a price to return home empty handed. even by official russian figures, thousands have died, many more injured, and thousands of equipment lost. all this for nothing? putin would never accept it. i honestly thing russia is in a position where the best option is to continue fighting and hoping to outlast ukraine.
yes and no. your thinking is right but the result is only partially. empty handed no – but if indeed putin would not be a jewish traitor, and interested in peace talks, he could fix things by evacuating the donbass and keep crimea, or evacuate crimea & keep donbass. wherefore i guess keeping crimea would be the better solution. together with a treaty that no nuclear weapons are allowed to be stationed in ukr.
trying to outlast ukr means starting ww3. as was said here already in april 2022 – russia will be f***ed beyond repair the moment the second front is opened. the caucasus. the moment chechnya, dagestan, ingushetia, ossetia, georgia, karbadino-balkarien etc. etc. go up in anti-russia jihadi flames, with support of usa, turkey and saudi-arabia – it’s game over for russia !!! it now starts with aserbaidjan finishing off ruski protected armenia – and the fire will spread !!!
the best solution for russia and its people would be putin stepping back from office, replaced by a none-jewish and truely pro-national russian leader. one who withdraws the ru troops from ukraine, negotiates peace in a way that crimea stays under ru occupation so that ru could save face. and moreover makes a treaty that no nuclear weapons are allowed to be stationed in ukr, and that all sanctions against russia are lifted.
you just witnessed that aserbaidjan killed dozens of russian soldiers, including high-ranking commanders with impunity in nargona-karabach and putin could do nothing about it. russia is not strong enough to protect armenia, and ru was only partly able to secure survival of syria and its assad-government. fact is: the fire in caucasus is already starting – and russia can do nothing about it !
ru cannot defend caucasus resp.combat chechnya, turkey,aserbaidjan, dagestan,ingushetia,georgia etc. while at the same time having total war in ukr. yes iran could indeed stop aserbaidjan turko-expansionism and sunni chechnya from getting free, but that would put iran against turkey. the dream of all israeli scum in the middle east. ..
getting turkey & iran into stupid war against each other, with israel being the laughing winner ! iran will not allow that, and therefore not attack turkey in the caucasus. result: russia will be alone to defend caucasus, bleeding dry on all fronts. only thing iran will do is protect syria from usa and israeli takeover.