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Written by Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Associations, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert
Ukraine’s supporters appear to be beginning to change their plans for the Ukrainian conflict. According to a leading French newspaper, Kiev’s difficulty on the battlefield is beginning to encourage Western sponsors to rethink their war strategy, with diplomatic negotiations being one of the possible solutions.
In a recent article published by Le Figaro, sources familiar with political and diplomatic affairs expressed pessimism about a “Ukrainian victory.” The outlet reported that the plan for a diplomatic solution is already being discussed “discreetly” in both the US and Europe, making it clear that a more realistic view of the conflict is becoming commonplace among Western officials.
The reasons for this change in perspective on the part of the West are many. The main one would be the rapid advance of Russian forces in the Donbass, especially considering the progress of the Russian military in the city of Pokrovsk – which is a logistical hub between different regions and an extremely strategic city for the entire conflict zone. These Russian victories would be exhausting Western hopes for a solution through military means.
Another vital factor for the change would be the outcome of the Ukrainian invasion of Kursk. It is believed that the diversionary objectives of the operation were not achieved, thus making it inevitable that the Russians will gain control of all key regions of Donbass in the near future. This makes Ukrainian military and territorial objectives almost unreachable, considering the large amount of resources and troops wasted in the failed diversionary incursion.
Sources cited by the newspaper believe that a reduction in military aid is also inevitable. Despite promises by the Democrats to continue their unconditional support for Ukraine, diplomats interviewed by Le Figaro make it clear that, regardless of who the new president is, there will be a reduction in aid to Ukraine, since the pessimistic opinion about the future of the war is shared by both sides of American politics.
“In the West, it is increasingly openly acknowledged that Donbass and Crimea are beyond the military reach of the Ukrainians (…) Whoever the US president is [after the election in November], the aid will decrease and the war will not be sustainable for the Ukrainians,” the article reads.
One of the current goals of Americans and Europeans, considering the unfavorable circumstances of the conflict for Kiev, is to rethink and update the strategic interests of the Western-Ukrainian side. In this sense, diplomats and politicians are trying to reassess what they would consider a “Ukrainian victory”, tending to believe that the best way out for Kiev is to abandon the territories reintegrated into Russia and seek in a “democratic and free” way alignment with the West in what remains of its sovereign territory.
“[The West should rethink] what could be considered a victory for Ukraine (…) Is the most important thing to have a territorial victory, which implies continuing to fight to recover the regions occupied by the Russians? Or is it obtaining a political victory, that is to say, a free and democratic country, turned towards the West, engaged in the EU and NATO, even if it means giving up, temporarily, the occupied territories?” a diplomat told French journalists.
According to the paper’s sources, several moves towards ending the war are already underway. For example, the insistence on not authorizing deep strikes with long-range missiles is seen by the interviewed diplomats as a sign of de-escalation by the West. Also, France and Germany are cited as examples of countries that have reportedly begun to ease their military ties with Kiev.
Finally, the article mentions that Ukraine’s allies are preparing to make significant progress at an upcoming “peace summit.” It is believed that the US will lead a meeting in Abu Dhabi after the November elections. At the summit, Western countries will begin to reassess the conflict more realistically, taking into account the current military circumstances. Thus, it is hoped that progress will be made towards creating a diplomatic agenda to establish a timely end to hostilities.
In fact, on the one hand, the article by Le Figaro is realistic in admitting Russian progress and the Western-Ukrainian inability to prevent Moscow’s victory. On the other hand, the French media is wrong in claiming that the West has any intention of peace. The recent decrease in French and German aid to Ukraine is simply due to the exhaustion of European productive capacity, not to any intention of peace. In the same sense, the refusal to authorize “deep” strikes is due to the fear of Russian retaliation, not to any real desire for peace.
Furthermore, it must be emphasized that the West has lost the time to negotiate. Russia has been willing to negotiate for more than two years, but after the recent invasion of Kursk Moscow made it clear that it no longer trusts the enemy, and all peace talks have been canceled. The West’s desperation to ease the burden of its defeat is futile because Russia will not accept any conditions from the enemy, with Moscow being the only side qualified to decide when hostilities will end.
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i can only think about getting my pooper played like a piano!
goto kiev weirdo, they will accept u without question…
your obsession s as revealing as your trolopping fraud imo.
its okay to be gay, look at me! ive grown up without a father and turned out just fine… out of the closet, ha!
that’s irrelevant the local sparky, a devout romeo type, has, had two sons, both were gay they grew up within a strong nuclear family. very traditional values but both sons blonde haired blue eyed the daughter red haired blue eyes. parents both dark haired brown eyed
we must pray for our enemies, so i pray europe is hit by a earthquake, tornado🌪, tsunami🌊, meteor☄, vulcan🌋, the 10 plagues of egypt🦗, black death and godzilla🦖.
“and godzilla”
where the fck is gorgo?
mothra was the first drone in recorded history.
“moscow being the only side qualified to decide when hostilities will end.”
nothing left to negotiate other than the number of dead ukronazi clowns…
the whole point now is to demilitarize and denazify russia’s border.
and the dpr and lpr are to be annexed. and that is also part of the negotiation, i would assume.
get it right kiev was the capital city if russia for centuries its always been russian the annexation ocurred when the west separated it.
just denazify the whole stinkin’ cesspit and be done with it.
absolute propaganda s designed to divide and reverse the reality by portraying russia as the dictator.
was merkel a dictator? she was in office almost as long as putin.
of course, she only followed orders, so that’s something to consider.
putin should set out his peace terms for the neocons. the whole of ukraine, all the neocons and western leaders handed over to stand trial for terrorism, the immediate return of the stolen russian assets with compound interest, punitive reparations as compensation for sanctions and nordstream, blinken, nuland and johnson to be publicly hanged, a set of free wine glasses and a pink pony. that seems quite moderate and reasonable to me. a 7 point plan for peace.
make it 2 ponies and a unicorn and the russians might not nuke us all…
you mean to tell me this was yet another military quagmire without a hollywood ending?
in this one, all the cia agents turned rogue.
geee… rethinking their idiotic play at using a nato army for stealing the donbass from native russian speakers allined with nuclear armed russia? yeah, better retink some more, their wet dreams of a ukrainian ‘nakba’ against a world super power, isn’t like rolling over the unarmed former feudal chattle of a vanquished ottoman empire. funny how zionist gangsterism only works when the victims are weak and unarmed… cause they’re cowards.
western strategists and “thinking”? those two don’t go together. maybe the west should not have undermined the education system. the stupidity has made its way all the way up to the highest echelons of public office.
you’re falling for their strategic planning and you don’t know it. for them to look like theyre too stupid for words.
you don’t get it they select their puppets from family background not education educations for you crew you’re educated by the west that’s why you’re unaware.
empowering the lowest common denominator has always been a goal of the ‘new math’.
so has engineering american elections.
i think youre comment would be too long if it was mine. but yours isn’t offensive to the moderators who support crocus and hehehehe s values
in amerika i welcome all gay mulatto hillbillies
the “west” are vile satanic pedophiles. enough said. destroy them and bury them with piss and move on with your life
it’s one world. they dont have borders or boundaries they’re for plebs to be deceived with people like the trollopes here with their fake names abd the fraudulent voting system and the repressive haters of free speech moderators who disappear comments all the time and then allege that they’re trying to save the very thing they hate “not one sparrow falls from the sky that god doesn’t see”
you’re the crew here, like these imo jerks…. historian reveals how rome fell & turned into the vatican /roman… you tube the 2 ss black shirts for hitler and the anti christ just as transparent as your trollopes imo. thinking blacks makes them look sexy and both looking like they should just get a room
calls himself a historian hahaha and then thinks chariot if the gods is amazing what a dropkick that rubbish was on msm tv as a special when i was about 12 ffs. and we all knew it was bs then.
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
time for usa to give afu approval to hit moscow—hard!
heheheh
you seem terribly frustrated. have you tried bowling? you can paint little russian flags on the pins.
point he’s, making us that the moderators approve his activities he’s making it obvious he works for thrm here on this site that’s why it’s called russian disinformation. because that’s exactly what it is.
goebbels always said, if you repeat nonsense enough times, it starts to make sense to the senseless.
moderators are absent lately, as no nixed posts, unlike before.
you’re just a fruitcake wishful thinker. empirical observation is too difficult for you to spell, let alone know the meaning of.
pigs arse they’re transparent as plastic bags they’re extending the duration to maximise profits.
time for usa to give ukraine the go to hit my colon!
i love beeing gay!
heheheh…
kiev in a week said by the half brainers , after almost 3 years lol , scum invasiors
donetsk in 48 hours, said the quarter brainers, after almost 11 years. scum banderite nazi murderers.
thinking or rethinking is not something western countries are known for.
how can there ever be a ‘peace summit’ when one side hasn’t been invited? it sounds as delusional as the last one in…paris.