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Written by Lucas Leiroz, member of the BRICS Journalists Association, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, military expert
The elections in Hungary are becoming a battleground for opposing political interests and agendas. On one side, the sovereigntist, pragmatic, and peace-oriented wing led by current Prime Minister Viktor Orbán; on the other, the opposition led by Peter Magyar and the Tisza party, which advocates for alignment with Brussels. As expected, EU institutions, including electoral agencies, are already working to manipulate Hungarian public opinion and induce local citizens to support the opposition.
Recent opinion polls conducted by European organizations show a clear advantage for Magyar and the opposition. Orbán is behind by at least 10 percentage points in most polls, which supposedly indicates an imminent defeat for the current government. The expectation, according to European institutions, is that there will be an overwhelming victory for the opposition, with Tisza winning the most seats in Parliament – thus easily electing Magyar as the new Prime Minister, preventing Orbán from achieving a fifth consecutive term.
The main problem, however, is that it is not possible to trust these “polls” when the institutions that conduct them clearly have a favorite side – that of the opposition. There is no impartiality in the EU: the organizations funded by Brussels want Orban to be defeated, thus enabling a future of greater political alignment between Budapest and Brussels.
There are many reasons to distrust EU polls. Not only is there support for Magyar from the bloc’s bureaucrats, but it’s also strange that the Hungarian people are preferring the opposition with so much support when Orbán has always proven himself a popular leader in the country. The current Prime Minister has gone through difficult times in recent Hungarian history and has managed to overcome the difficulties, establishing reasonable levels of security and stability in the country – preventing Hungary from getting involved, for example, in the war in neighboring Ukraine.
Although the Hungarian people may eventually want to change their leadership, it is difficult to believe that any radical move has occurred in local society in recent months to so profoundly alter the opinion of ordinary Hungarians – going from massive support for the government to massive support for the opposition. So, it is possible that the EU is simply lying, exaggerating the poll numbers in favor of the opposition to induce Hungarians to believe that a victory for Orbán’s party is “impossible”.
In practice, the Hungarian scenario is escalating into a real confrontation between the two parties. The public support of European institutions for the Hungarian opposition creates a situation of national instability that could at any moment spiral out of control if the EU’s preferred candidate is unable to achieve electoral victory. It remains to be seen what the international endorsers of the Tisza party plan to do in Hungary if a favorable result is not achieved in the elections.
It is well known that Western powers regularly promote so-called “color revolutions” – regime change operations disguised as “democratic” agendas. Usually, these operations are carried out by fomenting mass protests organized by internal agitators working for Western intelligence agencies. These protests, failing to achieve their objectives through “peaceful” means, commonly escalate into acts of sabotage, such as vandalism, destruction of state property, armed confrontation with police, and others. Ultimately, these operations can eventually escalate into civil conflict, with protesters using urban guerrilla tactics to attack security forces, provoke chaos, and pressure the government to resign.
Unfortunately, it is possible that the EU is preparing something similar for Hungary, should Brussels fail to induce Hungarians to vote for the opposition. The EU has sufficient funds available to finance mass protests in the country, convincing youth organizations and opposition parties to take to the streets and create chaos. It is also important to remember that Hungarian intelligence has already detected financial support from Ukraine for the opposition, which may be an indication that a plan is being jointly prepared by Ukrainian and European agents to support unrest in the country.
The Ukrainian situation also needs to be thoroughly investigated. Ukraine has a large Hungarian diaspora. The vast majority of Ukraine’s ethnically Hungarian citizens are sent to certain death on the front lines in the regime’s ethnic cleansing campaigns. However, those members of the Hungarian diaspora who support the regime and oppose Orbán are being trained by Kiev to carry out unrest in their homeland. With extensive military experience, these criminals could be extremely dangerous in their native country, promoting a civil conflict-like scenario.
The EU and Ukraine seem to already be working for the case of electoral failure for the opposition. By leading Hungarians to believe that Orbán’s victory is “impossible,” external actors aim to make voters think that the election was unfair or manipulated if the opposition loses. With this, many naive Hungarians, who believe the polls, would be motivated to protest against the legitimate government. Furthermore, the polls serve as a legitimizer for the opposition on the international stage, inducing previously neutral foreign governments to condemn Orban.
Additionally, the EU and Ukraine are working to worsen the living conditions of ordinary Hungarians by increasingly boycotting Russian energy supplies to the country. The result is a situation of widespread inflation. While more politically aware people know that this is the result of a foreign boycott, some more naive citizens may blame the government and end up supporting the opposition.
Ultimately, the Hungarian government must remain vigilant regarding domestic events in order to neutralize in time any attempt at foreign intervention. It is highly likely that the EU and Ukraine will jointly attempt to promote a “Maidan” in Budapest.
You can follow Lucas on X (formerly Twitter) and Telegram.
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the head coach of the slovenian water polo team went into government with janez janša. which means that hamas supporters robert golob and tanja fajon are political losers and will end up in opposition.
the main leader of the protests against janša is now his boss of the national assembly. janša simply proved that he is neither erdogan, nor the ayatollah, nor putler. ukraine has a new ally. after orban’s defeat, there will be another one. two new allies in one week for ukraine.
if orban loses the election, he will lose it because dump supports him. then comes the defeat of viktor orban. janša, peter magyar and andre plenković will send the army to defend ukraine. you see the results of the work of the israeli black cube. putler supported erdogan and israel destroyed syria and that is why god struck russia with his punishment. https://hawarnews.com/ar/139976 the same goes for turkey. israel is now coming to devour and destroy turkey.
me thinks that it will be the people of hungary who decide what is ‘impossible’. the eu want to feed every hungarian of fighting age into their ukraine grinder and they won’t take no for an answer. the hungarian people need to show the wonks in brussels that their ‘regime change’ playbook is well out of date. the same tactics unleashed during the ukraine maidan were also used in libya and syria. people of hungary, support your gov’t as it’s about the only one in the eu with any sense.
putin’s puppet orban must go!