Will Syria Cause A Chain Reaction. Part Two

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Written by Damir Nazarov

The events in Syria have taken both the remaining Arab military regimes and the region’s autocracies by surprise. After all, the wider Arab world has like-minded people of the “Syrian revolutionaries”. The presence of branches of the Muslim Brotherhood and various Salafis has always posed a threat to the eastern despots, and the emergence of an influential friend of the Sunni opposition in the person of Turkey makes all the gloomy predictions of the Arab dictatorships and autocracies regarding their future extremely realistic.

The Jordanian autocracy is the first on the list of the main dissatisfied with what is happening due to the proximity to the new Syria. In this regard, regular meetings are held in Amman with representatives of the Zionists and Saudis, where they discuss enhanced coordination in order to prevent the fall of the monarchy of Abdullah II and the development of a plan B if the monarchy does fall.

At this stage, Amman is monitoring the actions of two organizations in Syria, Tahrir al-Sham and the local Ikhwans. The Abdullah autocracy is worried that there are thousands of Jordanians in the former Syrian al-Qaeda who are ready to return to their homeland. As for the Muslim Brotherhood, Abdullah has long been concerned about them, and the success of their colleagues in Syria will provide additional motivation for the Ikhwans of Jordan in their struggle for power.

There are growing complaints in Jordan’s ruling structures about the emergence of a “Sunni crescent.” This is the term autocrats use to describe Erdogan’s “neo-Ottoman ambitions.” Exactly 20 years ago, Abdullah coined the term “Shiite crescent,” describing the union of Iran, Iraq, and Lebanon via Syria. Now, the Hashemite Kingdom’s concerns are linked to Sunni political activity. These concerns were first noted in 2011-2012 at the turn of the first wave of the “Islamic awakening,” but with the general defeat of the Muslim Brotherhood, the junta and autocracy put thoughts about the threat of “political Sunnism” on the back burner. Now, this threat has returned and looks several levels higher than its previous state.

Only Zionism is more concerned about the “security” of the kingdom than the Hashemites, and it openly declares this. Only Zionism is more concerned about the “security” of the kingdom than the Hashemites, and it openly declares this. “Israeli” orientalist Eyal Ziser writes: “Israel fears the leakage of terrorism from Syria to its territory, Jordan fears the leakage of revolutionary ideas of radical Islam into Jordanian society.” Retired “Israeli” brigadier general and military strategist Asaf Orion believes that it is necessary to “strengthen the stability of Jordan”, which, according to him, is threatened by pro-Iranian and pro-Turkish proxies in Syria.

It is not yet clear whether we should expect a civil war or an armed uprising within the Hashemite Autocratic Republic, but the fact that the Zionists are afraid and are ready, together with Trump, to send troops into Jordan in the event of the collapse of the monarchy, speaks of great worries within the Zionist occupation. Zionism realizes that time is not on its side and the political activity of the Islamic Action Front (the political wing of the Ikhwans) within Jordan will not be in vain. Similarly, under the cover of political struggle, the leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood are building relationships not only with like-minded people from the pro-Turkish Syrian opposition, but also with the Iranians. Ultimately, this triangle is going to manifest itself very soon, which is what Zionism is trying to prevent through intervention. But history shows that the more extensive the occupation, the more terrible the wounds are inflicted on it.

MORE ON THE TOPIC:

• Will Syria Cause A Chain Reaction? Part One
• New Syrian challenges for Erdogan
• Tahrir Al-Sham Will Be In Big Geopolitics For Four Years. Part Two

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