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NOVEMBER 2024

Kiev’s Counterattack Unlikely To Be Successful Due To Big Casualties

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Kiev’s Counterattack Unlikely To Be Successful Due To Big Casualties

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According to recent data, Ukraine lost 15.000 troops in April alone.

Written by Lucas Leiroz, journalist, researcher at the Center for Geostrategic Studies, geopolitical consultant.

Ukrainian plans to launch a counteroffensive look rather difficult to implement. At a meeting of Russian top military officials held on May 2nd, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu reported the official assessments on Ukrainian casualties during the last month. The government estimates that more than 15,000 Ukrainian soldiers were neutralized – killed or seriously wounded – in April. According to Shoigu, Kiev is unable to prevent its troops from suffering serious damage on the frontlines, “despite unprecedented military assistance by Western powers”.

The Russian data comes amid a scenario of collective skepticism about the possibility of Kiev reversing the military scenario of the conflict. More and more Western public opinion seems skeptical about a Ukrainian victory, considering that the territorial losses of Kiev’s troops are notorious and that the Russians are increasingly advancing towards the complete liberation of the territories reintegrated to the Federation. Now, with the release of this data about the number of casualties, the tendency is for this skepticism to increase, which complicates the Western war plans.

The big Western media outlets have been reacting to this situation through a kind of damage control – partially admitting that things are not going well in Ukraine, but suggesting that if more weapons are sent, the scenario could change. Some journalists use the rhetoric that there is a supposed counteroffensive plan to be implemented sometime this season, which would allegedly allow Ukrainian troops to achieve a major territorial advance, expelling the Russians even from pacified territories such as Crimea. But the existence of data like this one revealed by the Russian Ministry makes it difficult to believe in the possibility of such a move.

Although the mainstream media tends to prevent the spread of information about Ukrainian problems, it will be difficult to stop the collective skepticism, as this is not the first time that numbers informing about the catastrophic situation of the Ukrainian forces have been revealed. On several occasions in recent months, reports on this subject have appeared. In the recent wave of leaked documents, it was published a Pentagon assessment that between 124,000 and 131,000 Ukrainian soldiers were killed by Russian forces. In estimates made by other intelligence agencies, there are even higher figures, with some reports giving statistics as high as 200,000 to 300,000 Ukrainian casualties. These reports circulate freely on the internet, so, as much as there are attempts by mainstream media to censor the data, the multiplicity of sources makes this work really difficult.

As expected, the neo-Nazi regime in Kiev continues to deny all these reports and claim its ability to carry on the fight. In February, Ukrainian Defense Minister Aleksey Reznikov stated that the number of deaths among the regime’s troops was lower than the number of deaths in the earthquake that hit Turkey and Syria. According to official sources, the catastrophe in these two countries led to the death of 55,000 people, which shows how Reznikov is evidently lying, since even among the most openly pro-Ukrainian sources there is no belief in such a low number of casualties.

Similar declarations are also expected for the near future, especially responding to Shoigu’s statements. Kiev’s officials will try in every way to show that they have control over the situation of their troops and that their soldiers are in sufficient numbers for a counteroffensive – depending only on more Western weapons, thus justifying the “beggar” behavior for which Zelensky has already become known. At the same time, in Western countries governments will somehow have to convince their citizens that it is indeed prudent and necessary to continue sending arms to Kiev.

The wisest thing to do would be to admit the alarming numbers of Ukrainian casualties and stop the war machine behind the regime. Considering that it is an unwinnable conflict, negotiating peace is the best alternative for all sides. But neither Ukraine has the sovereignty to make such a decision, nor NATO has an interest in any possibility of peace. So, most likely, Ukrainian citizens will continue to die on the frontlines’ “meatgrinder”.

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Psionists slaves of America

Do not stop the counter offensive. This is a plot by the Zionist deeeep state to abandon Ukraine and redirect resources to fight for Israel against Iran to the last US soldier.

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Icarus Tanović

They can’t do that.

Sam

Russian Defense Minister have been wrong before. Therefore, I would not trust what Sergey Shoigu saying. The best strategy for Russia at this point prepare for the worst and hope for the best and remove Sergey Shoigu and his Generals from Ministry of Defense.

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Rightiswrong

No worries for NATO, the Poles will be next to step into the meat grinder. NATO has no problem finding corrupt politicians throughout Europe willing to sacrifice their lands and people for a few dollars more and a pat on the head from Bidet and co. Apart from the French, no one else in Europe is protesting about becoming meat in the meat grinder.

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Spiderman

This is in the Russian alternate reality right? because the truth is that for 1 year and a half the supposed Russian super army has not been able to defeat the Ukrainians with a precarious army and they are still talking about defeating Poland or NATO ? how much votka have you drunk today? ahh trolls don’t drink…

Uncle Ho

Offer a cash reward for the family of anyone or groups of peoples that eliminate the criminal Zelensky . It must be equivalent to millions of US dollars payable in whatever currency the successful people prefer.

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matrix

Come on, they have 10 puppets lined up to take over. This is not about 1 man, but about the puppet masters (central bankers and other war profiteers).

CPTSHUSMC

Still it would be a huge loss and Ukraine will not be the same

aamater

To závisí od uhla pohľadu. Bude, keď budeme považovať za úspech zlyhanie Banderovských fašistických svíň. Verím, že Ruské vojská sa pripravili dôkladne a že urobia nenahraditeľné straty Banderovcom!!!

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Mexican Czar

Russia is fighting for the world. The orthodox christian way

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Napoléon 1er

“N’interrompez jamais un ennemi qui est en train de faire une erreur.” In english : “Never interrupt an enemy who is making a mistake.”

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Hans Richardt

Main stream media purport that PMC Wagner lost such figures in Bakhmut alone. They further purport that PMC Wagner had run out of ammo and are killed off like flies by the crests. What the mainstream media never mention is that the idea of Ukraine, was a USSR colonial creation and leftover, since the Lenin era down the line to Kruchev.

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Hans Richardt

Fighting any offensive with people grabbed at their homes, at work or from the sidewalks will fail. Forced labour in Ukraine. Zelensky never asked for any Crest volunteers.

Hans Richardt

Slava Ukraine, a slave of NATO/Biden regime battle cry?

matrix

Imo Ukraine did not loose so much areas recently, but they will never take Crimea which always had Russian troops anyways to protect Sevastopol. And the Russian speaking provinces will also resist until the last bullet. What I understand is that the main Ukraine forces are in front of Donetsk in kind of a stalemate. Russians try to distract them and lure them away to other fronts but they do not take the bait. Main problem is the drone attacks, they will have to deal with that first otherwise it is a kamikaze mission.

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Lance Ripplinger

This is a war of attrition, plain and simple. Russia stated their goal is to “demilitarize” Ukraine. That is precisely what is happening. This isn’t a war of conquest. Do we even know what the population of Ukraine proper is now? I believe it was around 40 million prior to February of 2022? It could be very well be half that now. The Ukraine Army has probably lost as many as 300k men killed in action, and 200k injured and out of action would be my guess. Russia has a population of roughly 150 million. They have a huge manpower pool. Ukraine is out gunned by 10 to 1.

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